The Russian Military: Declining or Better?

[OUTLAW 09]

So are the Russians going to blame the Ukrainians for "dirty aircraft fuel"????

http://tass.ru/en/russia/808849

Official says fuel likely reason for Russian strategic bomber's crash

Russia
July 15, 16:39

Russian Vice-Premier Dmitry Rogozin
"Engines never fail on their own, especially all at once," the vice-premier told journalists

NOVO-OGARYOVO, July 15 /TASS/. Engine failure could not have been the main cause behind the Tupolev Tu-95MS plane crash. Fuel is likely to be the main problem, Russian Vice-Premier Dmitry Rogozin said on Wednesday.

"Engines never fail on their own, especially all at once," the vice-premier told journalists. He did not rule out that low-quality fuel could have caused the Russian Air Force plane to crash.

The aircraft crashed in the Khabarovsk Territory in the Russian Far East during a training flight on Tuesday morning.

The flight was performed without an ammunition allowance. The plane crashed in a deserted area and there is no destruction on the ground.

Russia’s Defense Ministry suspended the flights of Tupolev Tu-95MS (NATO reporting name: Bear) strategic bombers.

The Defense Ministry’s press office said that a technical failure is the likely cause for the crash. A source told TASS that the strategic bomber crashed due to failure of all of its four engines

[OUTLAW 09]

So are the Russians going to blame the Ukrainians for "dirty aircraft fuel"????

http://tass.ru/en/russia/808849

Official says fuel likely reason for Russian strategic bomber's crash

Russia
July 15, 16:39

Russian Vice-Premier Dmitry Rogozin
"Engines never fail on their own, especially all at once," the vice-premier told journalists

In last 2 months 6x #Russia air force jets fell out of the sky... b/c corrupt officers stole the maintenance funds.
SUPER!!! :-)

[OUTLAW 09]

Two engines failure on the Russia MOD's cargo aircraft forced emergency landing. No casualties this time.

https://twitter.com/FastSlon/status/622039994077741057 …

[OUTLAW 09]

Tymchuk: Russia is deploying more & more artillery, sending in more soldiers (non-Slavs), & intensifying the shelling of Ukrainian positions

Read an advance report on fire support trends in the Russo-Ukraine conflict today. The trends are disturbing.

UAS surveillance plus Russian thermobaric artillery rounds means that light infantry forces are either dug in or well done.

Russians also use DPICM plus those thermobaric rounds. We'll soon have neither.

In a combined DPICM/thermobaric fire mission from Russian MLRS lasting 3 minutes, two Ukrainian mechanized battalions were wiped out.

Artillery is causing 85% (!) of casualties on both sides.

you can cross Eastern Ukraine jumping through thermobaric ordnance and don't touch the ground

This conflict is putting tactical development into hyperdrive. Increasing use of combined arms companies. US way behind.

combined arms as a core competency has been neglected in defense focus for nearly 20 years

Russia mastered loop from UAS to IDF. We haven't.

C-RAM and C-UAS as much needed as longer range/superior performance artillery capabilities

Russian losses of UAVs are staggering even for a "limited" conflict, if Ukrainians got better C-UAS systems that'll help a lot

Russia is spreading artillery in battery size down to maneuver battalion level. Army concentrating it at division level. (DIVARTY)

Smaller loop between maneuver and fires = faster, more responsive integration, which is vital.

[OUTLAW 09]

While this was an interesting theoretical discussion--facts on the ground in Russia occupied eastern Ukraine has fully supported this discussion as the Russian ground forces have completed just this "theoretical" reorganization and have moved into formal attacks positions all along the eastern front lines.

Good info to match with intercepted comms. before certain attacks

Pickar, C.K. (1991) Tactical Deep Battle: The Missing Link http://www.dtic.mil/cgi-bin/GetTRDoc...f&AD=ADA258092 …

Just had a very interesting discussion on topic: Is Russia reviving the Soviet "Deep Battle" concept?

Military experts tend to poopoo the idea of Russian "Deep Battle", but facts on the ground indicate the concept is being revived.

It appears that the Russian military (Ground, Airborne and Air Forces) are developing a modern "lite" version of "Tactical Deep Battle"

Deep Battle" was Soviet/Warsaw Pact era methodology: mechanised assault by combined arms armies. See Pickar 1991 http://oai.dtic.mil/oai/oai?verb=get...fier=ADA258092 …

Deep Battle has both defensive and offensive phases ...

Offensive phases: assault (breach front line/penetration of rear), deep operation (advance/envelopment of rear), consolidation/pursuit.

Deep Battle relies on mechanised/motorised infantry, tanks, (self-propelled) artillery, AT/AA cover, assault aviation and deep logistics.

Russian forces currently building motor rifle (mechanised infantry), tank, deep air assault and assault engineer capacity in east of Ukraine

Rapid reorganisation (by Southern Military Dist) of Russian (hybrid DPR/LPR) motor rifle and tank units "lodgement" in eastern Ukraine...Recent reorganisation and deployments of Russian 1st Tank Div and 20th Combined Arms Army in Western Military District together with......support the notion that the Russian military is preparing a "lite" Tactical Deep Battle operation in (eastern/southern) Ukraine

[OUTLAW 09]

Tymchuk: Russia is deploying more & more artillery, sending in more soldiers (non-Slavs), & intensifying the shelling of Ukrainian positions

Read an advance report on fire support trends in the Russo-Ukraine conflict today. The trends are disturbing.

UAS surveillance plus Russian thermobaric artillery rounds means that light infantry forces are either dug in or well done.

Russians also use DPICM plus those thermobaric rounds. We'll soon have neither.

In a combined DPICM/thermobaric fire mission from Russian MLRS lasting 3 minutes, two Ukrainian mechanized battalions were wiped out.

Artillery is causing 85% (!) of casualties on both sides.

you can cross Eastern Ukraine jumping through thermobaric ordnance and don't touch the ground

This conflict is putting tactical development into hyperdrive. Increasing use of combined arms companies. US way behind.

combined arms as a core competency has been neglected in defense focus for nearly 20 years

Russia mastered loop from UAS to IDF. We haven't.

C-RAM and C-UAS as much needed as longer range/superior performance artillery capabilities

Russian losses of UAVs are staggering even for a "limited" conflict, if Ukrainians got better C-UAS systems that'll help a lot

Russia is spreading artillery in battery size down to maneuver battalion level. Army concentrating it at division level. (DIVARTY)

Smaller loop between maneuver and fires = faster, more responsive integration, which is vital.

Russian UAV video depicts its use as a forward artillery observer for 152mm SPGs and then for BDA after the shelling to confirm target destruction.

June 2015, RUS are shelling UKR positions (RUS UAV video)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p3mxGGb9ghk …

RU UVA operator is extremely quick in the use of the camera which shows a solid ability with the use of the UAV.

[OUTLAW 09]

Tenth air crash in less than two months---no/little maintenance, bad fuel, worn out air frames, bad pilots---

FIRST PHOTO: Mi 28N helicopter crashes at airshow in Russia http://on.rt.com/6o99 pic.twitter.com/67hrZDDxez

One of the pilots of the fallen Mi-28N "Night hunter" ejected http://liveuamap.com/en/2015/2-augus...n-night-hunter …

Mi-28N military helicopter crashed during a "Aviamix" http://liveuamap.com/en/2015/2-augus...ring-a-aviamix … pic.twitter.com/jIkoavRaCN

And second pilot is dead http://liveuamap.com/en/2015/2-augus...n-night-hunter … pic.twitter.com/mgG0gUi3If

[OUTLAW 09]

Tenth air crash in less than two months---no/little maintenance, bad fuel, worn out air frames, bad pilots---

FIRST PHOTO: Mi 28N helicopter crashes at airshow in Russia http://on.rt.com/6o99 pic.twitter.com/67hrZDDxez

One of the pilots of the fallen Mi-28N "Night hunter" ejected http://liveuamap.com/en/2015/2-augus...n-night-hunter …

Mi-28N military helicopter crashed during a "Aviamix" http://liveuamap.com/en/2015/2-augus...ring-a-aviamix … pic.twitter.com/jIkoavRaCN

And second pilot is dead http://liveuamap.com/en/2015/2-augus...n-night-hunter … pic.twitter.com/mgG0gUi3If

Right before Mi-28H went down in Ryazan,Russian Air Force Maj-Gen made statement that air show goal was to show RUS air power & reliability

Russia's latest military helicopter Mi-28H crashed at air show http://top.rbc.ru/society/02/08/2015...79474598721195 … pic.twitter.com/RPXET4u6S2

Mi-28N crash at Russia Video https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_xuUqHTD2dA …

The helicopter belonged to the "Berkuty" ('Golden Eagles') flight display team.