it is difficult to quantify the risk that Boko Haram presents outside Nigeria or to say for certain that it is on the verge of becoming an international – rather than a local – threat.....there is no evidence tying Boko Haram to al-Qaeda central or the broader jihadi community on an operational level....Boko Haram continues to resist becoming a wider movement. It fights for the realisation of its founding objectives – to end Western education and influence in Nigeria and to Islamise the country.
Link:http://iissvoicesblog.wordpress.com/...ican-al-qaeda/

Almost like 'The Accident Guerilla' argument.