Bill

It's difficult if not foolish to try and predict what is going to happen, but we still must try.

You make a very good point about the grey and black (we called them shadow economies) economies. Mexico is heavily affected by the shadow markets as well.

The alternate scenario for me is still in the works. I don't even have all (or nearly all) the variables identified yet. I know one thing - Mexico will be in real trouble economically over the next decade without critical economic, governmental and social reforms.