A quick and simple answer to you is that the Taliban sit and watch the ISAF forces day after day and in their medieval minds they note weaknesses which they exploit. This while the ISAF forces arrive in Afghanistan with the attitude "This is how we do it". The prognosis for ISAF remains poor.
Still, my point remains. Neither side is 'stupid', and using such a label is both inaccurate and unproductive.
As to the prognosis of ISAF, that's another topic altogether and is one I'm unqualified and poorly placed to comment on.
'...the gods of war are capricious, and boldness often brings better results than reason would predict.'
Donald Kagan
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