AFGHANISTAN: INDIA'S CONTINGENCY PLANS FOR "THE DAY AFTER"

Strategic objectivity would suggest that India's preference should be for a sustained United States embedment in Afghanistan till such time political democracy takes roots and the Afghan National Army is built upto at least 500,000 strong to take charge of Afghanistan’s security.

Strategic realism would also suggest that India recognize that American commitment to Afghanistan’s stability is dependent on the vagaries of compulsions of United States domestic politics......

United States exit from Afghanistan is not a question of “if” but is a question of “when” Pakistan as the “regional spoiler state” of South Asia and a “proven destabilizer of Afghanistan” could boil over the situation in Afghanistan to contrive an American exit from Afghanistan.

India has wrongly shied away from a military commitment in Afghanistan for two major reasons. The first was the American reluctance to permit Indian military involvement in Afghanistan out of deference to Pakistan Army sensitivities. The second reason was the political and strategic timidity of India's political leadership who have yet to recognize that being a big power would involve shouldering military responsibilities to reorder in India's favor the security environment in South Asia.....
This Paper intends to briefly examine the following related aspects to offer some recommendations for India's contingency planning on Afghanistan:

Strategic Realties Which Should Prod India's Contingency Planning.

India's Contingency Planning: The Political Initiatives Recommended.

India's Contingency Planning: The Strategic Steps Recommended.

India's Military Contingency Plans for Afghanistan on "The Day After".
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