I suspect that if Boyd was half the peacetime fighter pilot he's alleged to be, he made a LOT of decisions based on intuition and instinct -- disregarding his own OODA Orthodoxy...
We discount intuition. That's a bad mistake.
Any decent Staff is its own Red Team. The basic problem is lack of decent staffs because the atrocious personnel system forces people who shouldn't be in jobs into those jobs, both Staff and Command...Yes, maybe, yes, no and YES!I’ve seen a lot of VERY risk averse staffs and think that there is a role for “Red Teaming” to help such a staff identify good and not just bad. If a gaming related process is one of the tools in the arsenal of this new group of deep thinkers, then why just limit them to ‘nightmare scenarios’ which runs the risk of going down extremely low probability rabbit holes (WMD anyone?). Sounds like a call for a group of super-educated grey-beards to enlighten the great unwashed of the rest of the staff. Why not just better educate the staff as a whole?
From your penultimate quote: "Critical thinkers require education and experience. Commanders require critical thinkers who can challenge assumptions and offer alternative perspectives." Yes, they do require such experience -- but they do not get it because of the 'requirement' to do too many totally unnecessary things and move too often. Commanders have critical thinkers -- but most will not challenge assumptions because the system mitigates against that -- too many will swallow their thoughts and tell the Boss what they think he wants to hear. That is a training and education problem...
We don't need Red Teams -- a Red Team, in and of itself, is an acknowledgement of performance shortfalls. We simply need competence and both the personnel and training systems do not inculcate that.
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