All true. "May" being the operative word. My suspicion is that we probably are but I would also emphasize the word "conventional" -- we humans can be innovative when pushed. It's always prudent to look ahead but it's equally prudent to be aware that view will always be rather murky with few absolutes discernible...Don't know, long retired but I strongly suspect that is OTOH pretty popular for a variety of reasons mostly involving job security...Re. military analysts, believing that our world faces a looming problem with its supply of liquid fuels can hardly be a popular/widely-supported position, including within the military...Certainly logical and probably true. Without more knowledge than I now possess on the topic, I'm inclined to 'know' there is a peak oil issue but to not know when it will occur. IIRC, there have been a number of predictions thus far and most have proven wrong -- that human innovation factor again, I think -- so I suppose we need to keep a weather eye cocked, be prepared as best we can and continue to explore alternatives without undue angst.In some circles, PO is viewed as a cult, doomerism (even psychosis, etc) so one would think that there could be some risks in expressing support for PO concerns...However, that has not stopped several industry insiders from doing so, to their credit.
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