The US officer corps is a fairly cohesive, quantifiable, and predictable tribe.
Political parties on the other hand are defined by their volatility and stochastic behavior.
I would be more inclined to bet upon on a political party fracturing and perhaps reshaping/reallocating scarce resources to efforts more representative of the populace it hopes to represent.
There are historical precedents for the latter scenario.
Progressive Party (United States, 1912), From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Progres...tates,_1912%29
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