A snapshot of the current situation through the usual fog of war. It is a pretty rough guide, but the Ukrainian forces have certainly made progress in the last weeks and days. At least an area with a pre-war population of over 100.000 has been liberated.
As I have written before the have been caught completely unaware by the Russian 'stab into the back' but a country of 40 million under the government's control is increasingly mobilizing and fighting back. It is difficult to see how the (pro)Russians will be able to hold out for a long period if Russia doesn't heavily reinforce it's shadowy forces composed by all sorts of individuals, even locals. Still in this conflict the Kremlin has de facto so far only escalated so one can hardly rule that out.
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