Literally the entire western MSM and Obama WH pundits have been totally wrong about Putin's intentions and actions in both eastern Ukraine and now Syria......
Do no think for a moment think that Turkey and KSA are actually bluffing....the reaction of the IRGC Commander and the FARs instant reporting on the alleged 150K Sunni invasion force and the somewhat over reaction of the Russians to the Turkish cancelled Russian requested Open Skies flight..is also starting to wear on Putin.....
Aggressive Russian air strikes on civilians is just as high today .....which will further fuel the Turks and Saudi's....
The Obama WH seems to fail to accept the simple fact that in the eyes of the Turks and KSA Iran now controls the capitals of FOUR Arab nation states....Syria, Lebanon, Yemen and Iraq.
If Saudis & Turks are bluffing or playing a political manoeuvre & fail to back it up with action, this will be worse than Obama's CW retreat
Why do I say this...for Turkey and KSA to not follow through insures the regional hegemony for Iran and the Shia taking control of a bulk of the Arab/Sunni ME world......so some amount of ground forces will actually go in....
Then Putin has a choice to make as he does not have the necessary Russian ground forces to react and his AF strength cannot match what Jordan and KSA can throw at them....make in fact explain the sudden Russian AD build out.....
Putin has actually wanted a clash with NATO and he might just get it.....
Right now Obama and Kerry have absolutely no creditability left with either Turkey and or KSA.... and the entire GCC.
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