Well, the two Polish counties that comprise the Polish side of the Suwalki Gap contain 136,000 people, of which 47,000 are ethnic Belorussians (35%) and 5,900 are ethnic Lithuanians (4%). In the greater Voivodeship, there are over 1,137,000 Poles, comprising 96% of the population.
In Lithuania, the ethnic Russians are far from the Suwalki Gap...
Therefore, I don't see much room for Russia stirring up trouble Donbas-style...
The only way for Russia to seize the Suwalki Gap is by direct military force against Lithuania and/or Poland.
Poles and Lithuanians have always had differences. I can't think of any major grievances that Putin can exploit. Moreover, Poland and Lithuania have taken the lead in building unity along NATO's eastern flank and supporting Ukraine. If Poland can put aside the loss of Lwow and the legacy of the OUN in order to help Ukraine in its negotiations with Moscow and Brussels and to help defend itself, then I'm sure Lithuania and Poland can get along...
Azor.....heads up....Russian non linear warfare is now officially afoot in the Baltics....remember the "Gap".....
Kremlin activated its local assets, established new #Russian speaking party - #Estonian National Party (ENP)
http://www.delfi.ee/news/paevauudise...t?id=76828876#
…
Moscow Lacks a Plan to Ensure Kaliningrad Region’s Security, Regnum News Agency Says
http://www.interpretermag.com/january-6-2017-2/#15885#
Azor...but wait you must give Putin a super A for at least an effort....the inertia of non linear warfare is interesting...appears that once Russia started it formerly in their military annexation of Crimea they cannot seem to either stop it or slow it down....appears to have taken on a life of it's own these days and Russia attempts to implement it everywhere.....a sort of throw the mud on the wall and let's see if it sticks.....
A small number of recent posts in the Ukraine at War 2017 thread referring to the Baltic states and Poland have been moved here just.
Last edited by davidbfpo; 01-07-2017 at 11:53 AM. Reason: 62,698v
davidbfpo
Malofeev, #Russian orthodox billionaire, in 2014, bankrolled #Crimea annexation & Eastern #Ukraine campaign.
https://twitter.com/VeikoSpolitis/st...3048089030656#
NOW it starts AGAIN........
'Russian Dawn' Leader: Ethnic Russians in Latvia Live Under 'Apartheid'
http://www.polygraph.info/a/28298687.html
Last edited by davidbfpo; 02-10-2017 at 06:23 PM. Reason: Moved from Ukraine at War thread.
OSW Warsaw ThinkTank @OSW_eng
Kaliningrad’s significance for Russia and its special
characteristics.
https://www.osw.waw.pl/en/publikacje...nomy-and-army#
Last edited by davidbfpo; 02-12-2017 at 01:21 PM.
Sudden test of readiness of military forces along Russia's Nordic/Baltic borders. Readiness for what?
Russian battle readiness check will last 1,5 months! Troops from Buryatiya also taking part (Eastern Mil Distrct)
In addition to Air Force battle readiness check, now it's all units of Western Russia. From Finland to Ukraine and Poland
NOTE: Had this been happening in say 1986....NATO would be upping the alert status as this is a solid indicator of pre war Russian maneuver buildup....
Russian Western Military district on sudden battle readiness check
Last edited by davidbfpo; 02-14-2017 at 09:52 PM. Reason: Moved from Ukraine thread
Russian Cruise Missile, Deployed Secretly, Violates Treaty
https://mobile.nytimes.com/2017/02/1...co/l4Af7io7i6#
…
Last edited by davidbfpo; 02-14-2017 at 09:52 PM. Reason: Moved from Ukraine thread
Here is a good article from GlobalSecurity on the subject: http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/wo...ssia/ssc-8.htm
Development of a new missile might be an effort to ensure nuclear parity with China, which is not a signatory to the treaty and within range of such weapons.
Daryl Kimball, head of the Arms Control Association, the private research organization, said “There are some in Russia’s defense establishment who are itching to find ways to either get around or break out of the INF treaty so that Russia can counter these other kinds of short and medium-range ballistic missile opponents.”
Last edited by davidbfpo; 02-14-2017 at 09:52 PM. Reason: Moved from Ukraine thread
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