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Thread: China's Emergence as a Superpower (2015 onwards)

  1. #41
    Council Member AdamG's Avatar
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    The aircraft carrier is the most capable offshore warship ever built. It is considered a symbol of national and naval strength, and thus an indispensable part of China’s dream of building itself into a maritime power.
    This made the first open-sea training exercise of China’s sole aircraft carrier, the Liaoning, quite significant. Its voyage into the western Pacific has been a milestone for the nation’s navy, which has more a history of humiliation than of glory.
    It’s the first time the vessel, which was commissioned in 2012, has ventured into distant waters, passing by Taiwan twice on its journey in the South China Sea
    http://www.scmp.com/week-asia/opinio...boat-diplomacy


    China’s first aircraft carrier formation which moved close to Taiwan and conducted drills in the disputed South China Sea has returned to Qingdao port after finishing exercises and testing combat-capability, the Chinese navy has said. Comprised of aircraft carrier Liaoning, a number of destroyers, some J-15 carrier-based fighter jets and helicopters, the fleet sailed through the Bohai Sea, the Yellow Sea, the East China Sea and the South China sea, it said.
    The formation, which set off on Christmas day, passed through the Miyakato, Bashi and Taiwan straits, according to the People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN). Taiwan protectively rushed fighter jests and naval ships.
    http://indianexpress.com/article/wor...ssion-4474347/
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  2. #42
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    Initially, it's believed that the Sharp Sword will be used for reconnaissance in areas with dense air defense networks, as well as tailing foreign warships. As the Chinese develops a familiarity with the Sharp Sword, it could be used for combat operations as a "first through the door" weapon against highly defended, high-value targets, as well as an aerial tanker for other drones and carrier aircraft (akin to plans for the U.S. MQ-25). There is even the possibility of carrier version for China's planned next generation of catapult equipped aircraft carriers.
    http://www.popsci.com/china-sharp-sw...src=SOC&dom=fb
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    Default The Communist Party of China feted at Davos

    On Jack Ma (http://www.cnbc.com/2017/01/18/chine...structure.html)

    It's not that other countries steal jobs from you guys…It's your strategy. Distribute the money and things in a proper way.
    Does Jack mean for America’s leading 10,000 families? Is Trump not promulgating an approach to international trade that is self-interested rather than principled?

    The American multinational companies made millions and millions of dollars from globalization…The past 30 years, IBM, Cisco, Microsoft, they've made tens of millions — the profits they've made are much more than the four Chinese banks put together. ... But where did the money go?
    It went to shareholders, Jack. Where does Alibaba’s money go. To the poor serfs of western China? Hardly.

    You're supposed to spend money on your own people…Not everybody can pass Harvard, like me…As a business person, I want the world to share the prosperity together.
    No, Jack. You’re worried about the gravy train ending for China. Already, China is outsourcing to Ethiopia, Vietnam and Malaysia. We’ll see how long the CPC has the “mandate of heaven” when only millionaires and billionaires are left…

    On Xi (http://www.economist.com/news/china/...rock-stability)
    No one will emerge as a winner in a trade war…[China]…will keep its door wide open and not close it
    It’s almost as if Xi is defending the status quo that he wants so desperately to revise…How curious.

    [The Paris Agreement is] a responsibility we must assume for future generations
    Well, look no further than the smog of Beijing to see how the CPC handles its responsibility. Given that China has deprived itself of future generations, this remark is laughable.

  4. #44
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    In recent years, China has moved aggressively to increase its power projection capabilities through the rapid modernization of its navy. Military spending has soared, with Beijing’s defense budget expected to reach $233 billion by 2020, more than all Western European countries combined, and double the figure from 2010, according to Jane’s Defense Weekly. In 2016, the United States spent more than $622 billion on the military, Jane’s said.
    These days, Chinese naval vessels, including nuclear submarines, roam much of the globe, from contested waters of the Yellow Sea to Sri Lanka and San Diego.
    China’s decision to establish an overseas military installation comes as little surprise to those who have watched Beijing steadily jettison a decades-old principle of noninterference in the affairs of other countries.
    https://www.nytimes.com/2017/02/25/w....html?src=recg
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    Default The PLAN is over the horizon

    RUSI hosted this recent conference: 'RUSI International Sea Powers Conference: A European Net Assessment of the PLA(N)' and the Abstract is breathless:https://rusi.org/conference/rusi-int...ssessment-plan

    There is a video (42 mins, skip the first 5mins)with two speakers:
    Vice Admiral Umio Otsuka, President, Japan Maritime Self-Defence Force Command and Staff College, and Dr Peter Roberts, Director, Military Sciences, RUSI on the growth and strategic capabilities of the Chinese Navy.
    There's also a month old RUSI commentary by Dr Roberts:https://rusi.org/commentary/china%E2...ppears-horizon
    Last edited by davidbfpo; 03-03-2017 at 08:59 PM. Reason: 44,673v
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    China says it will increase military spending by about 7% this year, just days after Donald Trump outlined a boost to the US defence budget.
    The scheduled announcement was made ahead of the annual National People's Congress (NPC) in Beijing.
    China has been modernising its armed forces recently as its economy expands.
    China's announced defence budget remains smaller than that of the US. But many China observers argue the real figure could be much higher.
    http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-39165080
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    Default Singapore's Success Continues to Inspire China

    Not watching the region or China that closely I missed the significance of China watching, if not following Singapore's way ahead. This article explains and adds it is not all "happy":http://nationalinterest.org/feature/...re-china-19822
    Last edited by davidbfpo; 03-21-2017 at 03:51 PM. Reason: 47,269v
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    Chinese Navy's indigenous Aircraft Carrier on schedule for April 23 launch
    http://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplo...rly+Bird+Brief
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    China's Spending $500 Billion to Reshape the World in Its Image

    China is one of the few countries in the world today with money to spend, and Xi Jinping is ready to write some checks. China’s president will host almost 30 world leaders in Beijing on Sunday at the first Belt and Road Forum, the centerpiece of a soft-power push backed by hundreds of billions of dollars for infrastructure projects. More than 100 countries on five continents have signed up, showing the demand for global economic cooperation despite rising protectionism in the U.S. and Europe
    http://newsdailynews.com/chinas-spen...mage-bloomberg
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    OVER the weekend Xi Jinping welcomed 28 heads of state and government to Beijing for a coming-out party, which continues today, to celebrate the “belt and road” initiative, his most ambitious foreign policy. Launched in 2013 as “one belt, one road”, it involves China underwriting billions of dollars of infrastructure investment in countries along the old Silk Road linking it with Europe. The ambition is immense. China is spending roughly $150bn a year in the 68 countries that have signed up to the scheme. The summit meeting (called a forum) has attracted the largest number of foreign dignitaries to Beijing since the Olympic Games in 2008. Yet few European leaders are showing up. For the most part they have ignored the implications of China’s initiative. What are those implications and is the West right to be sanguine?
    http://www.economist.com/blogs/econo...roadinitiative
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  11. #51
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    On Sunday, China began laying out its grand vision to the world for reviving the ancient Silk Road, attempting to issue in a new era where camel caravans have been replaced by cargo trains and treasure galleons replaced by freighters laden with socks and gadgets, all emanating from the Middle Kingdom.
    In a 45-minute address opening the Belt and Road Forum in Beijing, Chinese President Xi Jinping gave a glossy overview of the historically-inspired "One Belt, One Road" initiative he launched back in 2013 to expand trade links between Asia, Europe, Africa and beyond. In his speech, Xi called the initiative the "project of the century" which promises to usher forth a new "golden age" of globalization.
    "The glory of the ancient silk routes shows that geographical distance is not insurmountable. If we take the first courageous step towards each other, we can embark on a path leading to friendship, shared development, peace, harmony and a better future," Xi proclaimed.
    In this ambitious trillion-dollar effort spanning countries and continents, Xi vowed during his speech that China would provide $125 billion of funding, $9 billion of which will go as aid to developing countries that join the global scheme.
    http://shanghaiist.com/2017/05/15/silk-road-summit.php
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    BEIJING (AP) -- China's increasingly powerful navy launched its most advanced domestically produced destroyer on Wednesday, at a time of rising competition with other naval powers such as the United States, Japan and India.
    The first 10,000-ton Type 055 entered the water at Shanghai's Jiangnan Shipyard on Wednesday morning, the navy said in a statement.
    It said the ship is equipped with the latest air, missile, ship and submarine defense systems. China is believed to be planning to produce four of the ships.
    http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories...06-28-00-15-10
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    China began construction of a logistics base in strategically located Djibouti last year that will resupply naval vessels taking part in peacekeeping and humanitarian missions off the coasts of Yemen and Somalia, in particular.

    This will be China’s first overseas naval base, although Beijing officially terms it a logistics facility.

    Xinhua said in a short report late on Tuesday the ships had departed from Zhanjiang in southern China “to set up a support base in Djibouti”.
    http://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplo...-base-djibouti
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  14. #54
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    Default Base diplomacy: the regional implications

    Hat tip to WoTR for having an Indian analyst, from India, contribute this wide-ranging review of the impact of the PRC's base - being built - in Djibouti:
    Beijing’s new base in Djibouti marks the start of a longer-term enterprise aimed at embedding China into the geopolitics of the Indian Ocean.
    There is a curious part on how should India react, even advocating a naval response in the Western Pacific.
    Link:https://warontherocks.com/2017/08/ch...ons-for-india/

    There are African aspects to the base, background maybe found on this thread:China's Expanding Role in Africa
    Last edited by davidbfpo; 08-23-2017 at 12:16 PM. Reason: 62,095v
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    BEIJING (Reuters) - China’s air force has carried out exercises near the Korean peninsula, practicing to defend against a “surprise attack” coming over the sea, Chinese state media said.
    The exercises came days after North Korea’s sixth, and most powerful, nuclear test fueled global concern that the isolated nation plans more weapons tests, possibly of a long-range missile.
    An anti-aircraft defense battalion held the exercises early on Tuesday, near the Bohai Sea, the innermost gulf of the Yellow Sea that separates China from the Korean peninsula, an official military website said.
    Troops traveled to the site from central China before immediately beginning drills to fend off the “surprise attack” simulating real battle, it said.
    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-ch...KCN1BH1CY?il=0
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    U.S. Intelligence Sees China's Military Expanding Bases Globally
    Bloomberg
    China’s first overseas military base in the small African country of Djibouti is “probably the first of many” the country intends to build around the world, which could bring its interests into conflict with the U.S., according to American intelligence officials. “China has the fastest-modernizing military in the world next to the United States,” according to insights provided Thursday by U.S. intelligence officials, who asked not to be identified discussing the information.
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...bases-globally
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  17. #57
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    Default "This is the biggest player in the history of the world.”

    The title is from a short quote by the late Singaporean leader Lee Kwan Yew of China’s rise, in full it was:
    It is not possible to pretend that this is just another big player. This is the biggest player in the history of the world.
    Now who said this?:
    Taking the long view, we simply cannot afford to leave China forever outside the family of nations, there to nurture its fantasies, cherish its hates and threaten its neighbours.
    The BBC's China Editor has a profile of President Xi Jinping’s, where she concludes:
    Xi’s China has so far married great wealth with great repression. If he continues to cage his tigers, clean up his comrades and silence discordant voices, the existential questions may be for others. Not since Chairman Mao has China’s dream of greatness rested so heavily on one man.
    Link:http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/resources/...ts_Chairman_Xi
    Last edited by davidbfpo; 10-13-2017 at 10:32 AM. Reason: 66,764v
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    BEIJING has outlined plans to become the world’s biggest superpower within the next 30 years.
    Opening a five-yearly national congress, Chinese President Xi Jinping set out his time frame for the country to become a “global leader” with international influence.
    In his 3 ½ hour speech, Mr Xi urged a reinvigorated Communist Party to take a stronger role in society and economic development to better address the nation’s “grim” challenges.
    Speaking in the massive Great Hall of the People near Tiananmen Square, Mr Xi laid out his vision of a ruling party that served as the vanguard for everything from defending national security to providing moral guidance.
    He also called for the party not only to safeguard China’s sovereignty but also to revitalise Chinese culture, oppose “erroneous” ideology and promote religion that is “Chinese in orientation”.

    CHINA’S BIG PLAN
    Senior analyst in defence strategy and capability at the Australian Strategic Policy Institute, Dr Malcolm Davis, told news.com.au Mr Xi’s message was loud and clear.
    Dr Davis said Beijing wanted to replace the US as the world’s dominant superpower, an idea many people have dismissed as absurd as recently as a few years ago.*
    “China just doesn’t want to be a just regional superpower, it wants to be the superpower,” he said.
    Dr Davis said Beijing wanted to challenge US supremacy and reshape the region according to China’s interests and economic development.
    However, he acknowledged China faced several domestic challenges which stood in the way of its long-term goal, including suppression of democracy and freedom of speech.
    Dr Davis also said Beijing faced a huge demographic problem with an increasing ageing population and declining birthrate.
    This, in turn, would further impact on economic growth.
    * Unless you'd been following along at SWJ.
    http://www.news.com.au/finance/work/...d5ca89a2479e94
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    Get Ready for an Imperial China
    Investors need to wake up to a leader with a very different vision for China
    https://www.wsj.com/articles/get-rea...ina-1508919166

    See also http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-41746245
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    Default China and the United States: destined for war?

    An IISS event last month with Professor Graham Allison talking about his new book (published May 2017) and entitled 'China and the United States: destined for war?'. There is a recording to listen to (68 mins).
    Link:http://www.iiss.org/en/events/arunde...d-for-war-3469

    The book is 'Destined for War: Can America and China Escape the Thucydides Trap?' and on Amazon USA as a 'best seller', where the summary ends with:
    explains why Thucydides’s Trap is the best lens for understanding U.S.-China relations in the twenty-first century. Through uncanny historical parallels and war scenarios, he shows how close we are to the unthinkable. Yet, stressing that war is not inevitable, Allison also reveals how clashing powers have kept the peace in the past — and what painful steps the United States and China must take to avoid disaster today.
    Link with 150 reviews and mainly 5*:https://www.amazon.com/Destined-War-...ydides+Trap%3F
    Last edited by davidbfpo; 12-11-2017 at 06:24 PM. Reason: 72,109v
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