Tehran is certainly watching developments in Iraq with interest. The Iranian leaders have turned out to be very competent chess players in foreign affairs, carefully calculating each move. As demonstrated by the recent National Intelligence Estimate's reassessment of Iranian nuclear aims, the Bush administration and its generals are, at best, poker players. Every raise and bluff by the Bush administration and its generals in Baghdad has been effectively countered with some very thoughtful, strategic moves by Tehran—moves aimed at cultivating close relationships with Turkey, Russia, China, and even Europe.
For competent chess players they havent done a very good job of keeping their "figurehead" Achmedinajad from opening his mouth and inserting his foot continually. Especially when you consider the position Khomeni finds himself in regarding internal affairs.
I really tire of military allowing themselves to be baited into agreeing with negative long term results in order to feel they are ahead of the pack in pointing out what just about anybody who really matters already knows.
Are there inherent dangers? DUHHH
Will they all just get along? NO DUHHHH
Will the countires around them figure into their long term success or failure? Yes DUHHHHH
How about we ask the one question that matters.
What will the people do?
Noone can predict the future so noone can honestly answer that one.
Noone can affect anyone but themselves through their own actions and the subsequent reactions of others.
So how bout we in the defense force worry about defending and let the cards fall as they may withut giving journalist so much to sideline us with.
By the way I still don't get what the better answer is.
Install another dictator, sure that always works perfectly too.
(RANT, Sorry)
Not meant personally against anyone just frustrated by the trend
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