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Thread: An alternative to the GCC as means to implement Grand Strategy?

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    Council Member Rob Thornton's Avatar
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    Default An alternative to the GCC as means to implement Grand Strategy?

    Picking up where the Higher HQs as an Operational and Strategic Enabler thread left off, but also reaching back to the Direct and Indirect thread and the Stability vs. IW thread, it would seem appropriate to start a new thread to discuss the need for a means to implement grand strategy (all the elements of national power), one that might better might facilitate the ways that have been identified – such as that idea of a comprehensive, whole of government approach that applies the means in a way that is complimentary to the conditions – not necessarily in equitable measures, but appropriate ones.

    SWC member OE and I were tossing around names and implications, and he came up with a better one then mine – the Office of Regional Engagement (ORE for the acronym happy).

    Before I go much further, let me address where this relates to the some of the problems on the uniformed side. Chief among them may be that we have identified the limitations of military power to achieve our political objective(s) – this is not to say it’s a pure limitation, but also that there is the issue of the constraints of our strategic culture, which is an outgrowth of our national one – the who we believe we are as a nation, not a state culture. Time and again we’ve identified that while our use of military means are often a critical component to achieving or sustaining a political end, it alone cannot sustain the political end as we define it based on how we define ourselves. You could go with some of the examples drawn from ancient empires, but even those are somewhat anecdotal and do not provide the complete context of how or why decisions were made – we often make use of them because they are convenient and offer some form of a solution that appears more final and as such economical, I’d suggest that while attractive, they may also be fallacious.

    Political objectives, particularly when the end is large, and involves the acceptance, compliance, coercion, compelling, agreement, etc. of other peoples, organizations, states, etc. with the power to resist, interrupt, disrupt, distract, cooperate, etc., the use of military means as a deterrent or as a solvent brings with it risk and chance, and depending on the nature of the political objective its use may create an outcome that is anything but the one for which it was originally employed. Because it is often about the use of force in some fashion, to achieve an objective that is perceived as being either unachievable or one that can be expedited and realized faster to accommodate some timetable, the use of force compresses complex interactions, the lethal or kinetic aspect changes or redefines the nature of the interaction to produce what Clausewitz referred to as the objective nature of war while the broader political context of the objective of the different sides taking part in the war defines its subjective nature. This is kind of a tieback to Thucydides remark about “fear, honor and interest”.

    All of that to discuss the limitations, risk and consequences of using military power to achieve political ends. While “means” of implementation such as the GCCs may have been the most appropriate when the political objective was preservation and expansion of Democratic Values and Capitalistic Markets in the face of Communistic ideology which was also trying to expand (BTW Colin Gray did a great piece on the Cold War in his book on Strategic History), a contest in which the natural interests created an appearance of bipolarity (taking into account those who aligned themselves based off material and not ideological interests to secure their regime, etc.), it could be that the GCC may not be the best means of implementing grand strategy where the whole of government is required. While a GCC can do some diplomacy and does have informational and economic levers it can coordinate or pull its principal function is that of a combatant command. Its natural inclinations and bias is inherent to its composition. While personality can overcome a great deal of bias, its natural function is still the implementation of military strategy, not grand strategy. While you can augment a GCC with JIACG like liaison functions, or attach a POLMIL advisor to make a military commander more astute and legitimate in pursuing other policy areas, it is not a natural function; it’s a bridge or band-aid like appliqué.

    Changing the means of implementation from a GCC to something like an ORE is a huge strategic culture shift. We sometimes use the “turning the super-tanker” analogy to discuss evolution in the DOTMLPF arena, this might be more akin to changing planetary orbit! There are all kinds of challenges associated with the magnitude of the task, to name a few: articulating the rationale behind it to overcome domestic political resistance (which involves overcoming lobbyist and the military – industrial complex , congressional districts, jobs, etc.); enhancing existing bureaucracies and cultures in the Inter-Agency such as DoS, DoJ, USAID, etc. to work on a scale that is representative of the scale of the political objective – and deployed forward – think along the lines of DoD (this has not only $$$ and faces associated with it, but planning cultures and educational requirements like DoD); overcoming the inertia associated with our current means of implementing or political objectives – there is more then just the internal aspect to this, but the external aspect – who is the most trusted organization amongst the government?; the “whole of government” does not get to some of the means – there is the aspect of private enterprise and the role the interactions between them on a national, regional and international scale play toward economic development (same could be said for informational). This will all take time.

    Its interesting when you look at how some of this is occurring already – Secretaries Rice and Gates have made many state visits in tandem as of late, many more IA work groups, AMB Crocker and GEN Petraeus testified together, the speeches made by SEC Gates, the emerging military doctrine, etc. Should we proceed in an ad-hoc and incremental fashion, or should we offer up some type endstate or strategic vision in line with our political objective that guides the development of our means ($$$, time, people, etc.) that accounts for the level of risk?


    Best, Rob

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    Council Member slapout9's Avatar
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    Hi Rob, you may see some of this implemented next year at the War College. Part of Colonel Wardens War calculus process is up for consideration which goes into making or not making a go to War decision and the available alternatives. I have a contact person if you are interested?

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    Default Too much complexity?

    Hi Rob--

    The ideas that make up your ORE have been around for quite a while. In the ancient times known as the 80s many proposed a regional ambassador who would have the same authority for the State Dept as a CINC had for DOD. You know how far that one went!

    I took a stab at addressing the problem in the last chapter of my recent book with Max, Uncomfortable Wars Revisited, in which I laid out a matrix of assets that a commander or ambassador could employ in exercising the means of the DIME.

    I should note that the solutution to the problem you raise was achieved in El Salvador where the Ambassador was clearly in charge and the CINC supported him. It's a point Ed Corr, who was ambassador there when I was in country, often makes. Moreover, I can confirm his viewpoint from direct observation. Ed was in command of ALL USG agencies and assets!

    Which brings me to (again) my favorite quote from John Nagl:
    "Malaya"
    "Dear Lyttleton,
    "We must have a man.
    "Secondly, we must have a plan.
    "When we have a man and a plan, we shall succeed: not otherwise.
    "Yours sincerely
    "Montgomery (FM)"

    The Brits found their man first, in Harold Briggs and then in Sir Gerald Templar and their plan in the Briggs Plan. They also gave Templar full governmental and military authority, ie unity of command. They succeeded. It wasn't easy; took 12 years, but they succeeded. As I said elsewhere, organization can only make things easier or harder, it can't solve a substantive problem.

    Cheers

    JohnT

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    Council Member SteveMetz's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by slapout9 View Post
    Hi Rob, you may see some of this implemented next year at the War College. Part of Colonel Wardens War calculus process is up for consideration which goes into making or not making a go to War decision and the available alternatives. I have a contact person if you are interested?
    Point of order! Point of order! You are not really talking about "the" War College. You're talking about "a" war college.

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    Council Member Rob Thornton's Avatar
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    Default Function following Form, or Form following Function?

    Hi John,
    I figured it'd been brought up before - there is almost nothing new - which always brings me back to "lessons available" vs. "lessons learned". What may have changed (or changing) is the conditions, or at least our perspective on the conditions.

    It gets back to the idea of establishing and maintaining a bureaucracy - do you want a from that does not facilitate the function(s) that enables the achievement of your objective, or do you want a form that follows function and allows leadership to be animate in pursuit of the objective? The conditions, or rationale for changing the status quo must be understood and agreed upon before people will even begin to contemplate it - in this case, even identifying and agreeing upon the ends ways and means, would require significant work to get there.

    Anyway, it seemed like a good way to raise the issue of why we perpetuate something most from my generation take as gospel so to speak, when it may not offer the best form to fulfill the functions we've stated are critical to winning.

    Sometimes to consider something small I have to step back and consider the macro pieces to see the relationships - enablers and impediments, etc. 100% agree that in the end, its up to the leadership to make it work - warts and all, but if the foundation only allows for so much flexibility, that is all you'll probably get.

    Best, Rob

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    Council Member slapout9's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by SteveMetz View Post
    Point of order! Point of order! You are not really talking about "the" War College. You're talking about "a" war college.

    I am talking about "The" War College as in the one where you are at

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    Council Member wm's Avatar
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    Default The newest COCOM as an ORE experiment?

    Quote Originally Posted by Rob Thornton View Post
    – the Office of Regional Engagement (ORE for the acronym happy).
    Changing the means of implementation from a GCC to something like an ORE is a huge strategic culture shift. We sometimes use the “turning the super-tanker” analogy to discuss evolution in the DOTMLPF arena, this might be more akin to changing planetary orbit! There are all kinds of challenges associated with the magnitude of the task, to name a few: articulating the rationale behind it to overcome domestic political resistance (which involves overcoming lobbyist and the military – industrial complex , congressional districts, jobs, etc.); enhancing existing bureaucracies and cultures in the Inter-Agency such as DoS, DoJ, USAID, etc. to work on a scale that is representative of the scale of the political objective – and deployed forward – think along the lines of DoD (this has not only $$$ and faces associated with it, but planning cultures and educational requirements like DoD); overcoming the inertia associated with our current means of implementing or political objectives – there is more then just the internal aspect to this, but the external aspect – who is the most trusted organization amongst the government?; the “whole of government” does not get to some of the means – there is the aspect of private enterprise and the role the interactions between them on a national, regional and international scale play toward economic development (same could be said for informational). This will all take time.
    Seems to me we could be in the process of forming up such an entity (even if the poor attempt to put a continent inside a shape akin to a Masai shield--or something else --was misguided). Anyone have any insight into what is actually happening in the creation of AFRICOM? I have garnered some understanding of how it is organizing some of its intel assets, but that is a far cry from seeing the COnOPS and command relationships diagrams.

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    Default Hi Rob, I'm not sure

    that "lessons available" is the same as what we used to call in SWORD the "almost obvious" but they are, at least, from the same genre.

    Cheers

    JohnT

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    Council Member Rob Thornton's Avatar
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    Hi Wayne,

    Good questions. I’ve only met a few folks from AFRICOM. My sense is that they are still in the growth and development phase, both in terms of generating and integrating a staff with the technical capabilities appropriate for the functions it is aiming to fulfill as a theater strategic organization (I’m not a huge fan of the term theater strategic, but it may be a better fit then mashing operational and strategic together), and in terms of capacity to take on the scope (breadth and depth) of the challenges in Africa.

    I think they are also building cultural appreciation for Africa – that challenge of doing so is somewhat representative by the current location of AFRICOM. Getting past any perceived bias on the intentions of the United States by its building of a GCC that “handles” Africa is a tough challenge. I’ve even heard that AFRICOM is putting considerable effort to bill itself as something other then a “combatant” command. This may be key to it success in building the types of relationships that will allow it to fulfill its role. I’d also submit that it may be that its composition and association are part of the issue with changing perception. While it would like to be more reflective of what its been stood up to accomplish, the broader IA does not have the capacity (and possibly the commitment) to fill all the designated spaces with representation from the “whole of government”. This also get to the issue of institutional buy in, and can the form support the function, or is the function limited to the form. No low hanging fruit here, but we do need to at least decide what we are trying to accomplish, and if the objective/end is not supported by the current means and ways, maybe we need to change something, even if its hard. AFRICOM has some real challenges, to do its mission, it may be largely reliant on how good of a relationship it not only has with the various country teams, but also the relationships it builds with the various ministries and leaders of the partner states, and that may be built upon AFRICOM matching actions and narrative, and making the relationship tenable and beneficial.

    I’ll see some folks from AFRICOM next month, hopefully I’ll learn some more about them and where they are going. I've met one of them before, and I was impressed with their outlook and energy.
    Best, Rob

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