Jed, you are dead on it. Displacement may not be a center of gravity, but it is one of, if not the most important concept in LE and COIN. I was going to write about this in the application of the control triangle (to counter the crime triangle) but you have done an excellent job.

There is one part I would like to expand on. Displacement to JAIL or GITMO. They get out!! And they will be meaner then ever. Crime spikes that happen every 5 or 10 years often match prison sentence cycles. They get out and go back to crime, better at it then ever. If and when the prisoners are released from GITMO who knows what will happen,but it want be good.