Quote Originally Posted by Rank amateur View Post
Is there anyone here who can tell me what the Metz effect is?

I'm guessing the counterinsurgent needs to show results or political support for COIN will drop.

Either that or its the after effect of a burrito grande.

The idea is that the U.S. has about three years of major involvement in counterinsurgency support before public and congressional support starts slipping, irrespective of the national interests at stake. I used this to justify have a serious, whole-of-government surge capacity. If you only have three years, you don't want to spend two of them getting your act together (or, in the case of Iraq, four of them).