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Thread: Quote on military portion of counterinsurgency

  1. #1
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    Default Quote on military portion of counterinsurgency

    There's a quote I've seen probably a dozen times, about the military percentage of a counterinsurgency solution may be 20% or 80%, but it's the first 20% or 80%. Anyone happen to know the exact quote, and who said it (I'm thinking a Malaya Emergency figure for some reason)? Much appreciated.

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    Default Galula

    Templer mentioned that the shooting end of the business was around 25% but it was Galula that coined (I know- that was terrible) the 80:20 ratio.

    You'll find two articles here from some switched-on Aussies that quote it.

    http://smallwarsjournal.com/documents/kilcullen1.pdf

    http://smallwarsjournal.com/mag/docs...70-hammond.pdf

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    Council Member Cavguy's Avatar
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    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by JT Clark View Post
    Templer mentioned that the shooting end of the business was around 25% but it was Galula that coined (I know- that was terrible) the 80:20 ratio.

    You'll find two articles here from some switched-on Aussies that quote it.

    http://smallwarsjournal.com/documents/kilcullen1.pdf

    http://smallwarsjournal.com/mag/docs...70-hammond.pdf
    Actually Galula didn't originate that, if you read the footnotes in his book, he was quoting a Chinese general.

    Niel
    "A Sherman can give you a very nice... edge."- Oddball, Kelly's Heroes
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    Default those Aussies

    ...never where ones for detail.

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    Default

    Thanks guys. But anyone know where the part about the military/security ingredient being the FIRST 20% comes from?

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    Default Napoleon said

    "in war, the moral is to the physical as three is to one." I think extrapolating that you can say that in COIN the political is to the military as ten is to one - of course Galula and others said 80/20 but I think 10 to 1 is more powerful of a statement.
    David S. Maxwell
    "Irregular warfare is far more intellectual than a bayonet charge." T.E. Lawrence

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    Small Wars Journal SWJED's Avatar
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    Something to think about concerning COIN - Dave Kilcullen brought this up last year during his COIN seminar at Quantico - even if you buy the 80 - 20 that does not mean the military does 20% - the military conducts many activities that can be regarded as part of the 80% political during COIN.

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    Council Member Ron Humphrey's Avatar
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    Post Devil's in the details

    Whenever I get to looking at the pol/mil balance it occurs to me that it reminds me of those 3D holographic pics where what you see up front is a bunch of the same but once you look closely enough the other pics start to come out.

    Can anyone tell me what percentage of those pictures are the front/back
    Any man can destroy that which is around him, The rare man is he who can find beauty even in the darkest hours

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    Granite State: He may not have been the first to say it even in the Vietnam context, but John Vann was fond of urging the advisers to remember that while security may be only 10% of the problem or it may be 90%, "but remember, it's always the first 10%--or the first 90%"....

    Cheers,
    Mike.
    Last edited by Mike in Hilo; 11-14-2008 at 03:31 AM.

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    Council Member Ken White's Avatar
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    Default Didn't that depend on whether your neighbors were

    Main Force or Local Force?

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    Quote Originally Posted by Mike in Hilo View Post
    Granite State: He may not have been the first to say it even in the Vietnam context, but John Vann was fond of urging the advisers to remember that while security may be only 10% of the problem or it may be 90%, "but remember, it's always the first 10%--or the first 90%"....

    Cheers,
    Mike.
    Perfect, that's exactly what I was looking for. Much appreciated.

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