I thought you'd chime in with some facts. Nothing I've seen so far causes me to leave my suggestion in post # 8:

I think we should indulge ourselves here in the presumption of innocence, until some better evidence turns up.
We might see formal charges (akin to our indictment) next year. If that is filed (cf. the Aruba case, where the guy was detained twice and never formally charged), the parties will then be at issue.

That being said, I do plan on following this case wherever it leads. I have seen a lot of speculation on the Net about Herman, including some "conspiracy theories". I have not reported them because the sources are questionable.

Of one thing, we can be fairly well assured. We won't (shouldn't) see NATO Security's damage assessment report.