Pakistani internal security (catch all)

[AnalyticType]

Before I even dive into this, I offer full disclosure: I am not mathematically inclined! So I'm putting this out there for analysis and commentary by others, rather than being a proponent of it myself.

While wandering through the treasure-trove of talks on TED, I came across a fascinating talk (Feb 2009) by Kiwi physicist and mathematician Sean Gourley. He discusses the application of mathematics to insurgent attack trends. VERY intriguing patterns were revealed.

So my questions to the COIN practitioners: How parallel are his conclusions to your experiences/studies? Have you utilized this sort of analysis to determine future trends already? Is this something entirely new (in your experience)? What are your thoughts?

[Surferbeetle]

So my questions to the COIN practitioners: How parallel are his conclusions to your experiences/studies? Have you utilized this sort of analysis to determine future trends already? Is this something entirely new (in your experience)? What are your thoughts?

Here is a thread that has some thoughts...

[AnalyticType]

Here is a thread that has some thoughts...

I hadn't found that one yet. I should'a looked more...

[slapout9]

Before I even dive into this, I offer full disclosure: I am not mathematically inclined! So I'm putting this out there for analysis and commentary by others, rather than being a proponent of it myself.

While wandering through the treasure-trove of talks on TED, I came across a fascinating talk (Feb 2009) by Kiwi physicist and mathematician Sean Gourley. He discusses the application of mathematics to insurgent attack trends. VERY intriguing patterns were revealed.

So my questions to the COIN practitioners: How parallel are his conclusions to your experiences/studies? Have you utilized this sort of analysis to determine future trends already? Is this something entirely new (in your experience)? What are your thoughts?

John Robb at Global Guerrillas writes about this subject, may want to search some of his posts there, here is the link. http://globalguerrillas.typepad.com/

[Greyhawk]

http://www.npr.org/templates/story/s...toryId=5545157

NPR interview with the translator, who was a Fellow at USMA CTC at the time (maybe still - dunno).

Which would make a "no" answer to the question "Has Naji's book affected our military education; do folks read and discuss it?" som'at ironic. I first saw it back in aught six - it's informed my thinking. (That and a dollar will still buy you a candy bar if you hurry.)

Got to appreciate the IO part - they've been highly effective at that. But I suspect most folks (none here) would be amazed (or dismissive) of any claim that they even had something approaching a "PR" wing.

[Greyhawk]

- a background document by the same author here: http://www.ctc.usma.edu/pdf/Stealing...20--%20CTC.pdf