Some initial thoughts for consideration
No powerpoint ranger, but here is an attempt to visualize the problem; and a first cut at defining these characters.
Non-Nuke States: (Canada, Japan, etc)
Sovereign States that do not possess nuclear weapons
Primary Goal: Promote Nationalist goals without burden of Nuke status, but necessarily somewhat subjugated to a Nuke State protector.
Sanctuary: State status and protective treaties with Nuke State(s)
Nuke States: (Russia, Israel, etc)
Sovereign States that possess, or are believed to possess, nuclear weapons
Primary Goal: Promote Nationalist goals without excessive interference by Nuke States
Sanctuary: State status and threat of nuclear retaliation
Failed State: (Somalia, Yemen, etc)
Semi-Sovereign State that has reverted to tribalism or control by a Quasi or Non-State Actor
Primary Goal: Survival
Sanctuary: Lack of recognized state bodies and willingness to operate outside of accepted state system
Quasi-State Actor: (Hezbollah, Hamas, etc)
Organizations that have a direct link to the legitimacy of a sovereign state, but that also maintain operations outside that status
Primary Goal: Nationalist; with links to legitimacy but operating primarily outside the system of states
Sanctuary: Mix of State Status and Non-state Status played to maximize both
Non-State Actor: (Al Qaeda, Jemaah Islamiyah, etc)
Organizations with no linkage to any legitimacy derived from a sovereign state, but that operate in state-like ways to conduct UW
Primary Goal: Regional or Global; effect change for some distinct cause
Sanctuary: Non-state status enhanced by supportive populaces experiencing conditions of poor governance and the borders of the states those populaces live within; or protection of a sympathetic state’s borders and sovereign status
Insurgent Populaces: (FARC, NPA, LTTE, etc)
Organizations made up of citizens of a state to wage a nationalist insurgent movement (Revolutionary, Separatist or Resistance)
Primary goal: Nationalist, address poor governance at home, create a separate state, or defeat an invader
Sanctuary: non-state status and a supportive populace experiencing conditions of poor governance
Disgruntled Individuals: (Kaczynski, McVeigh, etc)
Disgruntled individuals who believe so strongly about some cause that they are motivated to conduct acts of terror
Primary goal: Personal; draw attention to their agenda / cause
Sanctuary: Laws of their respective states until such time as they violate the same
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