Probably correct. I think you have the timing about right as well -- I'd note that US domestic politics also intrude on the timing...I'd add Europe as well.2. ... 0ne really big attack in India or the US and all bets are off. No prediction.Probably not. Pretty close to right, I'd say, though I might go with "...five years -- or less."3. ... The US will stabilize a near-workable Afghan govt enough to make a legitimate drawdown in 5 years (not a Saigon embassy helicopter scene)...Wishful thinking?
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