Go Back   Small Wars Council > Small Wars Participants & Stakeholders > Futurists & Theorists

Futurists & Theorists Future Competition & Conflict, Theory & Nature of Conflict, 4GW through 9?GW, Transformation, RMA, etc.

Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 1 Week Ago   #1
Bill Moore
Council Member
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 3,008
Default Big Risks in 2018

The Biggest Risks Facing the World in 2018

This short article, with great maps depicting the risks related to global interconnectivity. There is a link to the full report also.

The new developments are:

For the first time, the most interconnected risks were “adverse consequence of technologies” and “unemployment and under-employment”, both highly connected with “profound social instability”.

We see an even stronger interconnectivity between “failure to climate change adaptation“, with “food and water crises”, “extreme weather events” and “large scale involuntary migration”.
All of the risks point to profound social instability. If accurate, and I think we can already see that is the case, the threat of extremism for both state (hyper-nationalism) and non-state actors will increase overwhelming our capacity to manage it if we have a threat based strategy where we are constantly responding to threats. Any hope of success in my view is the necessity to shift more effort towards prevention. Arguably our new national security and defense strategies are largely neglecting prevention to rebuild credible deterrence. This is understandable based on years of under investing in our military, but perhaps also short sighted.
Bill Moore is offline   Reply With Quote


Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Nigeria watching 2018 onwards davidbfpo Africa 4 2 Weeks Ago 10:02 PM
Withdrawing from Iraq: Schedules, Risks and Mitigating Strategies (6 August 2009) Rex Brynen Miscellaneous Goings On 0 07-30-2009 09:09 PM

All times are GMT. The time now is 04:01 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9. ©2000 - 2018, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Registered Users are solely responsible for their messages.
Operated by, and site design © 2005-2009, Small Wars Foundation