BM-30 Smerch stationed at Mount Zayn al-Abdeen in #Hama targeting whole countryside (90km) with Cluster bombs
According to my estimate (based on number of vehicles imported since 1955, minus those reported as lost in various wars up until 2011), the regime started this war with an arsenal of about:
- 2,500 MBTs (incl. about 1000 T-72s, 500 T-62s and 1000 T-55s, approx 50% stored)
- 2,000 IFVs, APCs and armoured cars (incl. about 1700 BMP-1s)
On ACIG.info forum, we have a gent who's keeping a weekly count based on reviews of all videos and photos that become available (note: losses documented by videos and photos only; i.e. no 'claims'). His last post from yesterday went like this:
Between5 october 2015 and 11 october 2015, according to different videos and photos, Assad lost:
- 3 BMP destroyed and 0 captured by rebels =3 BMP lost
- 13 tank destroyed and 1 captured by rebels= 14 tank lost
- 1 ZSU-23-4 destroyed and 0 captured by rebels= 1 ZSU-23-4 lost
= 18 AFV lost
Between 24 May 2012 and 11 october 2015, according to different videos and photos, Assad lost:
- 368 BMP destroyed and 166 captured by rebels = 534 BMP lost
- 712 tanks destroyed and 338 captured by rebels= 1050 tanks lost
- 41 ZSU-23-4 destroyed and 35 captured by rebels=76 ZSU-23-4 lost
- 24 2S1 and 2S3 destroyed and 19 captured by rebels= 43 2S1 and 2S3 lost
= 1703 AFV lost
So, roughly one half the MBTs and a quarter of IFVs lost so far. AFAIK, situation should be much more critical in regards of self-propelled artillery (like 2S1s and 2S3s): this is meanwhile extrmely rare in regime's formations.
That said, there should be another website, with a much higher 'score' (something like 2,300 AFVs).
BM-30 Smerch stationed at Mount Zayn al-Abdeen in #Hama targeting whole countryside (90km) with Cluster bombs
Great--thanks---Originally Posted by CrowBat
offical Nusra account claim now they regained Sukayk village
Bad day for #Russia T-72 Tanks in #Syria today
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=eK5C_MXelWw … https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=MpAQHLt_gkk … https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=9rSF8d9pf-o …
Hama From battlefield in Ghab plain/ Mansoura village
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DFf0OnplUv8 …
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=de&lat=35...55391&z=14&m=b …
Hama #Assad-forces shows enter to Kafranbouda, but not forced retreat hours later https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wd51u5OUXJg …
JAN can claim whatever it likes, most of it is nonsense. Jawlani was foremost busy offering a bounty of 3 million for Assad's head today.
Following insurgent units are either in position in Kfar Zita area, or have deployed reinforcements there today:
- Ahrar ash-Sham (arrived in Kfar Naboudah this evening)
- 101 Division (FSyA; it's 5th Battalion arrived today)
- 111 Division (FSyA, underway to combat zone)
- Furqa al-Wusta (FSyA, underway to combat zone)
- Liwa Fursan al-Haqq (FSyA; was there, now reinforced)
- Suqour al-Ghab (FSyA; was there, now reinforced)
- Tajamu al-Aazza (FSyA, was there, now reinforced)
- Salvation Front of Victorious Army (IF)
- Sham Front (IF).
The JAN tried to send some gang to Kfar Naboudah (possibly Jund al-Aqsa), but these clashed with Ahrar's guards at a check-point north of the place, and were forced to go away.
- Central Division FSyA is in the rear, trying to reorganize after recent losses. No news on the 60 Division FSyA (seems this was largely destroyed in Sukayk).
My estimate: #Assad reduced his "scorched earth policy" with barrel bombs on populated towns the past week- not damage #Russia'n- int. image
2 rockets hit #Russia'n ambassy in #Damascus
Russia launched Cruise Missiles from its Navy vessels at #Tartous coastline
Latakia #FSA shelling Regime forces in Kafr `Ajuz near #Durin
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5Ui3SNASRDY …
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=de&lat=35...50448&z=16&m=b …
Hama #FSA at entrance to Atshan
More photos of the incubator of cluster bombs,which targeted the refugee camp destroying it
Rural #Idlib #Syria Oct9
Local activists reported several air attacks on al-Bara, Mowazra, Ayn Laroze & Ehsim villages in Mount Zawiya. 4 pbly RuAF still over #Idlib
Warplanes launched an air strike on al-Bara village in Idlib countryside.
http://youtu.be/eec3TEPSADc
Civil defense in Idlib protest the kidnapping of their members by criminal militants.
http://youtu.be/VHCx1SIVLr4
From yesterday's fighting--
Clashes between FSA & regime in rural Hama.
Atshan: http://youtu.be/rWDL5uq5dYE
Kafrnabouda: http://youtu.be/bRNuzZz8-gc
Russian MoD gets it's data mixed up again, again and again-------
RuAF airstrike "near ТЭР-ТЬЯНА"
https://youtu.be/143YH5eBPE4 geolocated 2 Sukayk http://wikimapia.org/#lat=35.417817&...56788&z=18&m=b … 60km frm Tartiyah
Last edited by OUTLAW 09; 10-13-2015 at 09:42 AM.
Crow Bat--can you confirm this? This would be the second high level Hezbollah commander killed in the last week of fighting???
2nd sr. Hezbollah militia leader killed by rebels in 24 hrs in #Ghab battlefield Mahdi Hassan Obaid "Abu Ridah"
Also this popped up today-----
Iranian "General Hamedani killed in an ambush during a tour of Hama frontline", not in Aleppo in a car wreck as claimed last week
This seems to be the Farsi version of Gen Hamadani Syria story
http://bit.ly/1OyQFsA
A secondary source for Tabnak (IRGC-linked?) story on death of Gen Hamadani at hands of Hama rebels not IS in Aleppo
http://bit.ly/1k125Km
Last edited by OUTLAW 09; 10-13-2015 at 10:18 AM.
UPDATE: IDF now also confirming that it has returned fire against Syrian armed forces positions in the Golan Heights
Breaking #Map #Syria
#Nusra storms #Doreen village (#Latakia), held by #Assad since years.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4CgX...ature=youtu.be … pic.twitter.com/jfoxaMl1yy
News
#Nusra calls for killing of "Russian population and soldiers" in #Russia as revenge for Russian intervention in #Syria.
Hama Ahrar als Sham claim regained southern Mansoura & grain silo area http://wikimapia.org/#lang=de&lat=35...52730&z=15&m=b …
Israel'i airstrike on Tell al-Sha'ar in #Quneitra #Syria
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=de&lat=33...43017&z=15&m=b …
WHAT is the YPG up to????
As a supporter of the #YPG, they really need to answer to these accounts. What exactly is going on here?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LlOzoCHaNeM …
Last edited by OUTLAW 09; 10-13-2015 at 10:12 AM.
BreakingNews
#Assad / #Putin offensive to cut #Turkey from rebel-held #Aleppo started.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v6Sjgx0GYCc … pic.twitter.com/kxZLOMNqgF
BreakingNews
Russian Su-25 bomb school, used as #IDP camp in rural #Idlib province
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ewLnLZ_ZXR0 …
The just luckily missed the school by some meters. One child was injured.
BUT THEN Russian trolls start doing their info war thing......................
Алексей Рябов @leha_san · 1h1 hour ago
@JulianRoepcke Two parts in this video with different white balance. Can't be sure it's not combined from pieces -different places and time.
@JulianRoepcke As a photographer I can see different white balance of pieces in many other videos from Syria. Some of them probably fake.
Андрей Соловьёв @andrew_s76 · 2h2 hours ago
@JulianRoepcke US AF more professional. They does not missed. Wedding, hospital, two excavators. All targets succesfull destroyed.
YuriyGaraev @yurajazzz · 2h2 hours ago
@JulianRoepcke Holes from tank shells hit. This building was destroyed long ago. Why are you faking information?
Yup, Hezbollah confirmed his death.
Can't confirm (nor deny) any of rumours about Hamedani's death. Eventually, it doesn't matter how he died: what's important are effects. People with really good 'management skills' are meanwhile quite rare in Iran (so rare, same managers/officers remain in same position for ages, while same people are sent from one crucial position to the other); even the IRGC has no endless supply of them.
That said, there is one thing that's making me curious: I would like to point at the following video, taken on 4 October 2015, and showing a TOW-attack of the Suqour al-Ghab Brigade on a group of (supposedly) 'Assadist and Russian officers holding a meeting':
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iWzGe5i_WuI
It's not only that bodies can be seen flying around, or that it's clear that more bodies are then 'urgently' taken away from the scene... but if 'put into context'... it's not only that Hamadani and Abu Ridah were KIA in a matter of last four days, but a number of other Hezbollah and regime commanders.
So, perhaps - repeat: perhaps (this is a guess, nothing else) - it's so that those 'up-the-chain of command' were waiting for a suitable opportunity to report the death of commanders in question...?
And there is no more suitable moment but, 'see, brave soldiers of Assad/Jesus Christ/Sayida Zaynab Shrine/enter your choice, at the time of powerful enemy counter-attacks, your commanders are right next to you in the first line of defence, dying together with you'...
Rebels have retaken Mansoura village in Ghab in Hama from regime army and captured a tank and BMP
#Syria More indications of coming regime-offensive on N/W outskirts of #Aleppo after a dozen airstrikes on rebel hold suburbs
#Syria #Hama Ahrar als Sham claim regained southern Mansoura & grain silo area http://wikimapia.org/#lang=de&lat=35...52730&z=15&m=b …
Russia wants @WhiteHouse to join so that #Kremlin can claim #US/RU ties improved, force west accept #Assad.
https://twitter.com/AFP/status/653891193462484992 …
CB--reference the video--it appears that the TOW round was the HE version not the AT version that was fired---the jeep "disappears' and the small bus to the left of it as well which would have happened from an HE round--notice no further damage to the building directly behind the blast area.
Secondly there appears to be a small bus to the left of the command jeep which might have been used to transport say 6-8 personnel and the command jeep was probably an armed escort jeep--another 3-4 in it.
Knowing Russian officers-- the whole group appears to be huddled around something as if in a field command meeting/briefing--which it probably was and the field commanders were going over probably a map briefing of the front positions opposite the SAA positions.
BTW--what surprised me was the simple fact they apparently did not hear the TOW launch--in the open like that was you definitely hear the short pop of the launch but you definitely hear the engine kick in--they kept on with the meeting totally oblivious to the incoming rocket.
Still cannot figure out exactly why the SAA groups do not get the range of the TOW and the accuracy of it?
Have seen some of the Syrian TOW gunners even angle upwards the TOW before bringing it back down--almost like lobbing it- to get over hindrances.
BLUF--fully agree that this was a high level meeting and this is where Hezbollah took their loses--AM also assuming Russian officers were also killed--suspecting at least a Russian COL if not higher and he was GRU would have been with them as well.
CB--question back to you---just how did the TOW team know there was going to be a meeting at that exact location as the TOW teams have been surprisingly well positioned for all of their attacks?
Last edited by OUTLAW 09; 10-13-2015 at 12:30 PM.
Massive explosion of Russian bomb in a town in rural #Idlib https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oBhKN_u2o-k …
.Russian air strike hits civilians again--------
Russian SU-34 air strike on populated Dārat ‘Izzah north of #Aleppo. Aftermath shows casualties
https://www.youtube.com/watch?
A lone Su-25SM armed with two dumb bombs. Is RuAF generating more sorties just for the sake of it?
Last edited by OUTLAW 09; 10-13-2015 at 12:57 PM.
I have posted this on the Ukrainian military thread a number of times --in order to understand Putin read Orwell's 1984.
http://www.themoscowtimes.com/opinio...ed/538675.html
War Is Peace: Russia's Orwellian Propaganda (Op-Ed)
By Alexander Golts
Oct. 12 2015 20:06
The Russian authorities have achieved remarkable success in the Syrian war. According to a poll by state-run VTsIOM, 66 percent of citizens approve of sending Russian combat aircraft to Syria, even though more than half have no idea what Moscow is fighting for there.
Think about it: The majority of Russians approve of the war without even taking the trouble to understand its purpose. It's just that the average citizen gets a big kick out of watching television footage of Russian planes locking in and destroying their targets exactly as if it were a video game. The armchair audience likes watching the General Staff issue its daily report listing the number of terrorist command and control centers destroyed and the ever-increasing number of terrorists killed.
It seems as if the producers at state-controlled television channels are using George Orwell's "1984" as a handbook. The modern-day Orwellian war of Oceania against Eurasia — aka Russia versus fascist Ukraine — is already over and forgotten, and now Moscow has launched a new battle between Oceania and what Orwell called Eastasia.
And yet, the Defense Ministry does not even try to give a semblance of plausibility to its communiques of military triumph. After all, what type of aerial reconnaissance could confirm that Russian aircraft have destroyed a factory producing belts for suicide bombers? Do those belts explode differently than other munitions, or can Russian drone aircraft peer into windows and straight through brick and concrete walls?
The fact that Russians gave such enthusiastic support to the annexation of Crimea and Moscow's "secret war" in Ukraine revealed their deep inferiority complex over the collapse of the Soviet Union. The seizure of Crimea and the hybrid war in Donbass served as potent psychotropic drugs that allowed Russians to finally feel like citizens of a great empire — and therefore happy. However, like any powerful drug, it proved addictive. A new dose was needed. And one appeared, in the form of a safe little war in Syria that carried no risk for Russia.
That drug works on Russia's ordinary citizens and military chiefs alike. To help celebrate President Vladimir Putin's recent birthday, they launched 20 of Russia's most advanced Caliber cruise missiles from the Caspian Sea fleet to hit terrorist targets in Syria. Military observers were simply overcome with joy. For the first time in its military history, Russia used long-range cruise missiles to hit targets 1,500 kilometers away. That was a convincing demonstration of "the long arm of Moscow" and its long-awaited ability to "project force" abroad.
Of course, those same analysts who are simply bubbling over with happiness begin to stammer and mumble when trying to explain why those missile attacks were necessary in the first place.
It was clear why the United States used cruise missiles in its operations in Yugoslavia and Iraq — namely, to employ its full military might to send the enemy into confusion, destroy its reserves, interrupt communications and diminish its will to resist.
Russia's air operations are a bit different. In a campaign that is far from intense, the air squadron stationed in Syria carries out extremely limited strikes against targets that are most likely selected by the Syrian army. There are no targets in Syria that Russian aircraft cannot reach, and so there was no need to use cruise missiles against them.
The show that Russia has staged in Syria is essentially a historical reenactment of U.S. operations in Iraq. I can imagine how humiliated and envious Putin must have felt 12 years ago as those damned Yankees sent volley after volley of cruise missiles to destroy pinpoint targets thousands of kilometers away. Now Putin has shown that not only can Russia play that game, too, but under his visionary command, can perhaps outperform the Yankees.
Putin was not the only one to indulge his militaristic fantasies. Retired admiral and Duma Defense Committee head Vladimir Komoyedov argued that there was simply no stopping those "Komsomol volunteers" in their desire to ensure the happiness of the Syrian people. He implied that Moscow should create brigades, or perhaps even a battalion of volunteer Russian forces, and that fighters languishing in the Donbass for lack of a war could immediately relocate to Syria.
He even suggested that those intrepid Russian volunteers, so eager to bring happiness to their downtrodden Syrian brethren, could earn paychecks far surpassing standard military salaries. What Komoyedov forgot to mention is that "volunteers who fight for money" are actually called mercenaries.
Many years ago, after the tragedy in Vietnam, the U.S. developed the so-called "Powell Doctrine" that spells out criteria for the use of military force abroad. According to that doctrine, U.S. leaders can resort to military force only when, among other things, they have a clear and attainable military objective. However, Russia's war in Syria is primarily a propaganda stunt and lacks an end goal that could be achieved by military means.
What's more, it is fraught with the risk of entanglement. If the current air operations do not secure victory for the forces of Syrian President Bashar Assad and his Iranian colleagues, Russia's military chiefs might risk launching ground operations. In fact, such plans were already developed as part of the large-scale Center 2015 military maneuvers. First, an airborne regiment flies in and prepares a base for the main forces. They are followed by a division of troops, and then the general army.
True, it is not clear how Moscow plans to deploy infantry to Syria, but in the end, it can commandeer civilian aircraft. It was a stroke of luck in this regard that private Russian air carrier Transaero went bankrupt recently, allowing state-controlled Aeroflot airlines to buy a 75 percent stake in the company.
Russia's military brass continues to insist that it has no plans for ground operations in Syria. However, for some reason the Defense Ministry hurriedly pushed through amendments to the law on the punishment for evasion of reservist training …
Jaish al Fatah (#JaF) launch counter-battle for #Hama province
Last edited by OUTLAW 09; 10-13-2015 at 12:59 PM.
So, now they are 'retaliating against civilians' - instead of providing CAS for regime's battered ground troops?
Often repeated - but none-the-less dumb mistake.
And nope: the number of sorties generated by their 'Aviation Group in Syria' is in decline.
They should have received some reinforcements (additional Su-24s, apparently), 3-4 days ago, but the number of sorties is down meanwhile, from 60+ per day, to 50+ per day - and this despite deployment of Su-34s to drop dumb bombs... (imagine F-15Es bombing Daesh in Iraq with Mk.82s...).
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