Russian Info, Cyber and Disinformation (Jan-June 2017).

[OUTLAW 09]

BUT the core answer to Russian political warfare which is definitely being directed right now at this very moment the US ...I could show you if you were in Berlin an attack ongoing since early morning US time against a power grid in the US coming out of deep Russia via four different cutouts....which is successfully being deflected from here and out of Europe BTW not the US.

This is the real world of kinetic activity that the previous quote refers to....and that is daily now...and silence out of Trump WH...

I have my biases and it is one of having the earned right to those biases when it comes to the defense of democracy.....and if I recall correctly I warned about Trump being elected. I took and still take the sentence in the oath....defend against domestic and foreign enemies seriously..

I like that I no longer have to ask permission to respond....as I own the response and it is my decision....

We spent the last week basically blocking Russian control servers handling a massive botnet which was supporting Le Pen on the info war front...so yes there was a hardcore hand at work....and no support came out of the US for these efforts....

So on the European populist front....Wilders blocked in the Netherlands...Le Pen down 26 points and will not make it....Austrian FPO lost even though winning first time around...German AfD down in polls to 7% from a high of 14% and going even more far right since yesterday.....

Europe is doing a rather good job of pushing back on the far right populism and the US response has been?

BTW...26 US proTrump twitter accounts were identified by us as being involved in this active Russian influence operations botnet effort....which had supported Trump in his campaign and now are suddenly "involved in France"???

We tracked a series of Russian started comments into the US and then suddenly watched them being picked up by these US proTrump accounts and fired back into France...coincidence...hardly....

Is it not strange that the majority of efforts to track/stop Russian influence ops with their fake news and fake/info war social media messaging comes out of Europe and not the US.....why is that?

Why is it that the democracies of Europe are far more involved in this "kinetic fight" than the democracy of the US?

This goes BTW to your political warfare thoughts...and not carried much in the US MSM was it?

They generate black cash for black ops; they carry out assassinations.
They smuggle weapons; they carry out cyberattacks.
And they run all sorts of errands the Kremlin wants to keep its fingerprints off.
Meet Russia's nationalized and weaponized organized crime syndicates -- a deadly tool of statecraft for a highly criminalized state.
On this week's Power Vertical Podcast, we discuss co-host Mark Galeotti's new report for the European Council on Foreign Relations: Crimintern: How The Kremlin Uses Russia's Criminal Networks In Europe.
http://www.ecfr.eu/publications/summ...orks_in_europe

Quoted in the article..by a Russian criminal who claimed to have quit in 2016...

"In Russia we have power and safety...in Europe we have wealth and comfort"...

BTW here is a chart of some of those proTrump accounts supporting actively this week Le Pen.....up through mid day yesterday French time...

So explain to me why a GOP Tennessee twitter account under Ten_GOP is supporting a far right anti Semitic nationalist French political party which has nothing to do with US politics?

BTW...this twitter account had been relatively "quiet" then suddenly spiked in tweet numbers starting the morning time for Paris...coincidence?

Or were they just out there supporting Trumps' own Le Pen tweet?

Bill...in the cyber/info war front we are already at least in Europe in the kinetic trenches and it is getting worse by the day and out of the US total silence.....

If you took the time as we do to analyze twitter accounts then the info war being driven by proTrump twitter accounts needs some serious thoughts tied around them....

Who owns them..what is the messaging intent and who is driving that intent is just a few of the basic 5Ws and 1H.....but it is not being asked.

Check the previously posted chart and notice the proTrump accounts Ten_GOP....Basedmonitored and then take a look as we did to their twitter activities the day before the French elections and on the day of the elections...

You will notice a sudden distinct spike in twitter numbers in outbound messages up from a rather quiet period before the election ...if one is an twitter analyst this is an indicator of a controlled account....because the volume is to high for a personal to type them out...

Then and this is the key....MLP_Officiel is the official Le Pen account who then took these US inbound tweets and retweeted them giving her account followers the distinct feel that she had massive support from proTrump accounts.....

Then if you read through both US accounts you will notice the following account being often shown.....
Mike Cernovich #
Verified account
#@Cernovich 14h
14 hours ago
Every single mainstream media article on the French elections has to put "far-right" before Marine Le Pen. Almost seems coordinated.

Cernovich has been tied to the twitter account #syrianhoax which pushed countless tweets about the rebels being behind the Syrian sarin attack...was constantly pushing Russian tweets as his own and which actually many twitter analysts named as leading the Russian disinformation tweet campaign on the sarin attack in the US.

Then Cernovich's #Syrianhoax tweets are picked up and pushed by an alt right white nationalist site run by Alex Jones called Infowars WHICH Trump has admitted to often reading...

Now convince me we are not a ongoing brutal trench warfare kinetic fight....on the cyber and info warfare side....

Still stand by my biases....

[OUTLAW 09]

Bill...this is the current "war on the invisible front"...a GDR Stasi term.....

In German...who is behind the PR millions being spent on the ultra right German AfD ..Posters coming via a Swiss PR firm and the IP addresses of the computer hacking machines that attacked the researcher for this article came strangely from St. Petersburg....Rostov on Don....Kasan...and Jekaterinburg ALL in Russia.

Wer steckt hinter dem Verein, der Werbung für die AfD macht? Spuren fhren ins Ausland.

http://www.faz.net/aktuell/politik/i...-14983480.html

Out of that article is now a hunt on for information concerning a ultra right organization with the name of which no one seems to know anything about who funds them since they only have two members in the EU Parliment.........although the EU funds would not cover such a large scale operation.

"Foundation for a Europe of Nations and Freedom"......
http://www.fenl.eu/

The Foundation for a Europe of Nations and Freedom is a Foundation at European level composed of national parties and individuals as members and which is represented in several Member States as France, Belgium, Austria, Italy, Poland, Romania, United Kingdom.

Our members are convinced that the sovereignty of states and peoples, relying on the cooperation between nations, and therefore reject any policy designed to create a supra-state or supra-national model. The opposition to any transfer of national sovereignty to supranational bodies and/or European institutions is one of the fundamental principles uniting members of the Foundation.

European ultra right parties that are members of this "Club"......

Vlaams Belang (Flemish Interest) is a long time ally of Front National, FPÖ and Lega Nord and was from the beginning partner of the pre-group that Marine Le Pen formed after the last European election. Vlaams Belang is a Flemish independentist and right wing party that acts in line withe the importance of the national identity concept and operates in the Northern Dutch speaking part of Belgium

Northern League for the Independence of Padania
Founded on December 4th 1989 from the merger of several regional autonomist movements in northern Italy, with the main political aim to make Italy a federal State. In this respect, in 2006 it was able to make a constitutional reform approved by the Parliament, unfortunately rejected in the subsequent referendum in all Regions but Lombardy and Veneto.

Le Pen's The Front National aims to gather the Nation to defend its sovereignty, protect its integrity and to promote its historic values of civilization. Acting in strict compliance with the principles of freedom and democracy, we want to restore the Nation and its greatness by the application of republican laws and the establishment of a community of justice and solidarity. Attached to equality in law for all French citizens, without distinction of their origin, race or religion, the Front National defends national sovereignty and independence of the Nation.

The Austrian FPÖ sees itself as a social and patriotic movement and as an ideological representative of the political camp of German national and national liberal voters. The party is strongly associated with the legacy of the national-liberal ideas of the bourgeois-democratic revolution of 1848. The FPÖ is committed, in particular, to the protection of our cultural identity and the freedom of citizens in a constitutional state. The party also takes a stand for the traditional family and for the preservation of Austrian interests.

In considering the policy towards Europe, the FPÖ favours a Europe of historically evolved peoples and indigenous ethnic groups and rejects any form of forced multiculturalism, globalisation, centralisation and mass immigration.

So why would Russian hackers attack a server of a German researcher who publishes information on this group and their ties to the ultra right German AfD?

The deeper we dug on the research side on the Russian IP addresses and who they were talking to..the browner it became...all tied somehow back to Russian servers...

[OUTLAW 09]

Again this goes to the heart of my argument...just how can this President even think of a Russian counter cyber/informational warfare strategy??

Honestly can he even spell cyber correcty?

Trump boasts of highest TV ratings since ‘the World Trade Center came down’

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/...=.abf5eae8144c

Donald Trump has long been television ratings gold, and, even as president, he has kept his eye squarely on the small screen as a gauge of his popularity, a barometer for his governing agenda and his ability to dominate the airwaves, as The Washington Post's Ashley Parker and Robert Costa reported Monday.

Now, in an interview with the Associated Press released Sunday, Trump set a new standard of hubris even for himself — comparing his ratings prowess to one of the darkest days in U.S. history: Sept. 11, 2001.

“It's the highest for 'Face the Nation' or as I call it, 'Deface the Nation,' " Trump told the AP's Julie Pace, referring to the CBS News Sunday political talk show. “It's the highest for 'Deface the Nation' since the World Trade Center — since the World Trade Center came down.”

Trump said he helped the CBS Sunday morning political talk show score 5.2 million viewers, although it was not clear which appearance he was referring to. Trump's appearance in January 2016 registered 4.6 million viewers, according to TV Newser. His subsequent appearances on “Face the Nation” during the campaign last year got lower ratings, including after a Republican primary debate in February 2016.

As a New York real estate promoter, Trump certainly would have had a unique perspective on the al-Qaeda terrorist attacks on the twin towers. But his choice of using that moment, considered one of the most-filmed events in history at a time of emerging technology, as a measuring stick could strike many as tin-eared and inappropriate.

Trump made the comparison during a long, boastful interview in which he touted his ability to bring viewers. He said he scored 9.2 million viewers on Fox News when he spoke to anchor Chris Wallace last fall.

“It had 9.2 million people,” Trump said. “It's the highest they've ever had.”

At the same time, Trump used the opportunity to denounce, as he has repeatedly, the press corps again as “fake media” that treats him “very unfairly.” Trump, who has elected to skip the White House correspondents' dinner Saturday, has announced that he will hold a campaign rally in Harrisburg, Pa., to mark his 100th day in office on the same evening, in a bit of counterprogramming.

Some of the media, Trump said, “bears no relationship to the truth.”

Still, the president can't quite quit the mainstream press that he has so long been obsessed with. The White House announced that Trump will grant an exclusive interview to “Face the Nation” host John Dickerson to mark his 100th day, set to air this weekend.

[OUTLAW 09]

Bill...in the cyber/info war front we are already at least in Europe in the kinetic trenches and it is getting worse by the day and out of the US total silence.....

If you took the time as we do to analyze twitter accounts then the info war being driven by proTrump twitter accounts needs some serious thoughts tied around them....

Who owns them..what is the messaging intent and who is driving that intent is just a few of the basic 5Ws and 1H.....but it is not being asked.

Check the previously posted chart and notice the proTrump accounts Ten_GOP....Basedmonitored and then take a look as we did to their twitter activities the day before the French elections and on the day of the elections...

You will notice a sudden distinct spike in twitter numbers in outbound messages up from a rather quiet period before the election ...if one is an twitter analyst this is an indicator of a controlled account....because the volume is to high for a personal to type them out...

Then and this is the key....MLP_Officiel is the official Le Pen account who then took these US inbound tweets and retweeted them giving her account followers the distinct feel that she had massive support from proTrump accounts.....

Then if you read through both US accounts you will notice the following account being often shown.....
Mike Cernovich #
Verified account
#@Cernovich 14h
14 hours ago
Every single mainstream media article on the French elections has to put "far-right" before Marine Le Pen. Almost seems coordinated.

Cernovich has been tied to the twitter account #syrianhoax which pushed countless tweets about the rebels being behind the Syrian sarin attack...was constantly pushing Russian tweets as his own and which actually many twitter analysts named as leading the Russian disinformation tweet campaign on the sarin attack in the US.

Then Cernovich's #Syrianhoax tweets are picked up and pushed by an alt right white nationalist site run by Alex Jones called Infowars WHICH Trump has admitted to often reading...

Now convince me we are not a ongoing brutal trench warfare kinetic fight....on the cyber and info warfare side....

Still stand by my biases....

Current activity of @Basedmonitored is off the charts again today

432
POSTS

310
USERS

1,310,165
REACH

1,515,62
IMPRESSIONS

Timeframe
12am 22 APR to 12am 24 APR

Key stats are REACH and IMPRESSIONS

Most active retweeter of this account is the following account which is a well known Russian troll....active for the last two years
He started just right after the Crimea annexation.

Paul Joseph Watson
@PrisonPlanet

Here is his stats for just from 10am to now 6pm today

238
POSTS

181
USERS

932,530
REACH

1,010,765
IMPRESSIONS

The key stats of his effectiveness are REACH and IMPRESSIONS....

So exactly what does an evidently solid US proTrump twitter account have to do with Le Pen and a well known Russian troll even though the troll is using a US persona...and based in Macedonia??

[OUTLAW 09]

Bill..I said this morning that the Russians really do believe we the US are waging a non linear against them........

Nice to see that their TASS media outlet agrees with me.....
http://tass.com/politics/942643

Kremlin advisor reveals 'cure for US aggression'
Russian Politics & Diplomacy
April 21, 19:22 UTC+3

Putin's advisor also believes that Donald Trump is just "doing what the ruling elite expects him to do"

YALTA, April 21. /TASS/. The only way to stop US aggression is to get rid of dollar addiction, a Kremlin advisor said on Friday.

"The more aggressive the Americans are, the sooner they will see the final collapse of the dollar and by getting rid of the dollar this would be the only way for victims of American aggression to stop this onslaught. As soon as we and China dump the dollar, it will be the end of the US’ military might," Sergey Glazyev said in an interview with TASS.
Commenting on the policy of the new US president, Glazyev noted that Donald Trump is doing what the ruling elite expects him to do.

"I had no illusions about him, regarding any change in policy. First, America’s aggression around the world is rooted in its aspiration to preserve US hegemony when they have already yielded economic leadership to China," he said.

"The United States has no tools to make all others use the dollar other than a truncheon. That is why they are indulging in a hybrid war with the entire world to shift their debt burden on to other countries, to confine everyone to the dollar and weaken territories they cannot control."

"In this context, the anti-Russian hysteria and growing Russophobia can be seen as a long-term factor linked with the specific interests of the United States’ ruling elite," the Kremlin advisor said.

"In objective terms, they are conducting a global hybrid war and in subjective terms, this war is aimed at us. Moreover, as it always happens when a global leader is changed, the war is for control over rimland nations. During WWI and WWII, Britain acted as an instigator in a bid to keep its global leadership. Now the United States is doing the same. And Trump expresses these interests," he said.

Fun fact: Glazev is a paid member of Malofeev's NGO. Malofeev bankrolled & tried to deliver coup in Montenegro. Extremely strong evidence held by Montenegro with them requesting an Interpol arrest warrant for Malofeev....

NOTE...Reuters recently reported that the USIC had two key documents from this Malofeev NGO that were the actual plans for the hacking and influence operations conducted by Russia against the US election adamently denied by Russian FM....and that they were signed off on by Putin....

Katehon 2nd member Glazev is a figure in #FrolovLeaks, commands active hybrid war branch frm Orthodox Church side against ukraine

Head of #Russian Institute of CIS Zatulin, in Jan 2013, writes a memo using terms "Sacred Crimea & Novorossiya"
https://informnapalm.org/de/frolovle...kam-der-krieg/
Only in German and or Russian

That memo, one year and one month prior to Crimean annexation, ends up on desk of Glazev, Putin advisor on developments in CIS.

Ukrainian Cyber Alliance (UCA) hacktivists shared with InformNapalm a massive data dump from the mailbox of Kirill Frolov, Vice-Director of the Institute for CIS Countries, spokesman of the Union of Orthodox Citizens and ROC expert....

Russian response was initially that it was all "fake" but in the end admitted he had been indeed hacked BUT by the CIA.....

https://informnapalm.org/en/frolovle...ine-episode-1/

https://informnapalm.org/en/frolovle...cs-episode-ii/

https://informnapalm.org/en/frolovle...ing-episode-3/

https://informnapalm.org/en/frolovle...ia-episode-iv/

https://informnapalm.org/31475-frolo...riot-epizod-v/
Only in Russian and or Ukrainian

https://informnapalm.org/de/frolovle...kam-der-krieg/
Only in German

NOTE...the UCA has also hacked into the email account of the Putin's personal adivsor to the Russian mercenaries in eastern Ukraine Surkov WHICH the US is now trying to open a back channel to by Trump's appointing of "WH special advisor" which does not need Congressional approval as a way to finally establish a back channel link between Putin and Trump.....

Again Russia claimed this hack was done after they first stated Surkov had no email account...by again the CIA.....they defintely were not about to admit UCA pulled it off....

Russian political warfare hard at work.....

BTW...it is extremley important to understand the Russian foreign spy service (SVR) chief who replaced Malefeev......and how he fits now into Russian political warfare.....as a mjaor player as he is very close to Putin....
http://russia-insider.com/en/putin-a...ine-again/5433

[OUTLAW 09]

Now one can see what some of us are actively and aggressively trying to fend off with the coming German general election......our efforts are aimed squarely at the Russia info war side of the house....BUT in that effort we find ourselves drawn straight into the proTrump social media front which is showing very strong ties to that Russian info war aimed at France right now and currently well underway since yesterday.........

When this election is over we will be publishing our findings on the depth of that proTrump social media support to Le Pen as a way to understand the depth and breath of the Russian info war against both US and Europe in general....and how many Americans are part and parcel of that effort.....based on their social media activities...

Macron Campaign Wards Off Hacking Attempts Linked to Russia

Presidential candidate’s campaign suffers multipronged phishing attack beginning in mid-March

http://www.wsj.com/articles/macron-c...54240?mod=e2tw …

April 24, 2017 1:17 p.m. ET

PARIS—Hackers matching the profile of a pro-Kremlin Fancy Bear group have tried in recent weeks to access campaign email accounts of French presidential candidate Emmanuel Macron, a cybersecurity firm said Monday, raising fears of election interference in the final two weeks of the France’s presidential campaign.

Sound vagely familiar...it should...almost a carbon copy of the DNC hacking....with Wikileaks promising to release emails on Marcon..but then did nothing as they had nothing as the attacks failed because the French were forewarned....and waiting....

BUT WAIT.....
Russian TV host Vladimir Soloviev is hopeful: "Terrorist attacks can still play a role in helping Le Pen... Two weeks is a long time."

[OUTLAW 09]

Rough draft - second part of PCoG discussion.

"Secondary Types. All Political Entities exist within a socio-cultural system. They are a part of that system, but not the only part. Other elements of that system interact with the Political Entity and can either support it or oppose it. The oft cited elements of national power – Diplomatic, Information, Military, and Economic (DIME) -- are just such elements and represent tools that one nation can use to influence another. But, like tracers, they go both ways.

There are a myriad of supporting, or secondary types. The easiest way to think of these secondary types is through the metaphor of a man standing on a stool. The man is the primary PCoG. If I can influence him directly, I win. If I can’t, then I must look for another way. The secondary types are the legs of the stool. If I can cut deeply enough into one or more of those legs, I might be able to make the man unsteady, thus influencing the man just as if I had done it directly. Although there are probably dozens of secondary types, this paper only addresses a few.

Economic System/Support. Humans are economic animals. The complex social systems we build depend on economic activity. The people who make up every polity depend on the economic system to provide them with the opportunity to obtain the goods and services they need to survive and thrive. Even in the most independent of systems, the people still look to the political entity to provide the framework for a dependable economic system.

Security Forces. Security forces provide the basis of power for all political entities. In the case of a State, these are often the military and/or other security and intelligence agencies. In States, and lessor polities, these can also include private contractors or mercenaries, or militias made up of irregular forces.

Vassals or Key Supporters. These are individuals who provide the political leadership critical financial, military, or political support. In an Ideological System, these will include the actual leadership.

Ethnicity. Outside of family, ethnicity is probably the strongest physiological bond humans experience. It is often a critical part of how one defines themselves. It most likely defines what language a person speaks, what type of food the person grew-up eating, what region of the world the person lives, and potentially what religion they believe in as well as a plethora of cultural icons, common myths and fables, and historical stories. It provides an instant connection with others of the same ethnicity.

Religion. Religions provide not just a set of guiding moral principals, but also a sense of purpose. Religious leaders often are well respected in the community and are looked upon to provide guidance in difficult times.

Political Ideology. There are many political ideologies. Sometimes these are pure political theories, like Democracy or Anarchy. Sometimes they are a combination of political and economic theory, like Communism, Monarchy, and Socialism. On occasion, the political ideology and the Political System align, as in Democracy, but this is usually not the case. In most cases, the political ideology acts as a framework that bolsters and justifies the Political System. As such, while attacks against a political ideology will be useful, they are unlikely to be dispositive.

Individual Human Rights. Historically speaking, this is a new concept that is primarily a 17th Century Western invention. This is the idea that each person is a coequal with all other people when it comes to certain aspects of human life. These aspects are usually referred to as rights or freedoms, and include freedom of religion, freedom of speech, and freedom to choose one’s own path in life.

National myths and Icons. Although often overlooked, a people are also bound by their common myths and Icons. In America, the Icon of Uncle Sam looms large in patriotic symbolism, as do stories of the founding fathers. These icons and stories can be used to support a political leader, or to attack them."

Are you not moving really into an "eco-system" which Kilcullen often used...was in vague for awhile then fell out of favor but inside the IT security world it is making a comeback lately as the easiest explanation for the intersection between criminal and state sponsored cyber and information warfare...?

Your stool mechanism is interesting as I often use it to describe exactly the current power structures inside Russia....that Putin juggles in moving his political war forward...

Which was a four legged stool.....1) Russian oligarchs ...2) the Russian state security services...3) Russian military and lastly 4) Russian transnational gangs.....overlaying all of this was the ideological foundation provided by the drive of the Russian Orthodox Church.

Right now Putin has actually done an excellent job of balancing all of their needs and demands to remain in their individual power spheres...and to maintain their support for him.

What is interesting is to go back and review what Kilcullen first wrote in 2004 and then sit back and slowly inhale and actually notice how close he was to the current reality of IS and AQ...13 years later which we have largely overlooked...

http://smallwarsjournal.com/documents/kilcullen.pdf

Might actually well worth it to go back reread and then adapt to what you are doing....this is actually what now advance IT security types are doing say with botnets automated and those individually controlled....but we are using an interesting AI algorithm developed along the lines of IBMs Watson that then allows us to "see" that ecosystem in a 3D model

Here is a recent stab at it by a security analyst.....while the chart is a formal structured line and block one..you have to think of a spider web concept where as in a spider web every time there is a touching point there is a potential ecosystem.....interacting with another ecosystems and if one thing happens to the right of the web that are often ripples effecting the left side of the web and it those ripples that have to be watched which we have never done well....

The problem many had during the Iraq war was actually taking what Kilcullen was envisioning and putting it into something that actually reflected the living world around us in Iraq...AFG or Syria....and I am sad to say many do not have that ability and that is largely why the concept of an "ecosystem died a slow death"...but due to the complexity now seen in cyber and information warfare it makes perfect sense....and in our business we are fully able to "see" the intersecting points....

Many tend to forget that cyber and information warfare are human driven environments carried out either via machines and or by the human himself..and it is the human that derives the attack methodologies not a machine...and it is the human that discovers the tech failures on the engineering side that allow for such attacks.....thus a human ecosystem is easy to understand and build....and now with the advent of AI software programs far easier to envision than say 2006...

The chart below takes into account all the known elements of a criminal ecosystem for the internet side.....once you understand all the components then it is easy to config them into an ecosystem based on their "value" inside the system meaning who is important.....middlle important and less important and more critically what is the single point of failure and or points of failure...or where do I have to push myself into the system in order to disrupt the system....stop the system or simply gain time to figure out something else....because the human on the other side is doing the exact same thing as I am and trying to find my single point of failure....

The problem I have had over the years is that many studies/research articles are to "technical" in their structure and then it turns one off ....keep it simple...describe in a simplistic way that a ten year can understand and show examples tied to ground reality.....gets one further down the acceptance road than a study with tens of footnotes that no one ever really reads and or looks up...

Example.....if you have ever learned morse code you will learn that each and every MC operator has a "specific key rhythm" that makes him identifiable.... his "fingerprint" that allows monitors to then identify him when he is transmitting MC....hackers are no different each individual hacker and or group has a specific attack thought pattern and will always use it if it was successful and that is what gets them into trouble as we have been very good lately at "seeing" those "signatures"....

Just as we know the Russian state sponsored Fancy Bear was behind the DNC attack and now the same exact methodology is used in the French Marcon attack....hacker success breeds often complacency....just as we can tell the difference between a human driven attack vs. how a machine is carrying out the attack...

If you had read the posting on the Russian hacking site of the Russian state sponsored attack in 2014 on DoS where a western intel service actually got DoS/NSA into the actual computers of the hackers and turned on a video camera in the room for the first time it was key stroke for key stroke...actual war in the cyber trenches...never seen again....

The problem for cyber and information warfare is when to declare it an "actual war" thus triggering say Article 5 of NATO...Actually no one really has the honesty to stand up and define it as then the hackers would test the definition and see if there is a reaction by a nation state...

12 years ago when Kilcullen first used the "ecosystem" we had no data points that we could fall back on and it was hard to generate it so the model fall out of favor...now we have the data points and it is easy to do...

Just a thought...

[OUTLAW 09]

This goes to the question of when is cyber and information warfare true "war"..

When would NATO Article 5 be triggered is it was declared to be "war"...

That is exactly where we are now....I have seen the results and analysis and when the three top GRU Russian state sponsored hacking teams attack you...you are in fact under "attack and in a true sense it is a "kinetic war" as Russia is trying to force a political decision on France...or "bending France to the will of Russia" which is why "physical wars were fought in the past....

Russian state sponsored hacking attacks and influence meddling in the US election went unchallenged thus we see Russia repeating the exact same attack style...

Fancy Bear, Pawn Storm and other Russian hackers reportedly turning to France vote .
https://www.buzzfeed.com/sheerafrenkel

The same attack style from the Russian state sponsored hacking teams is now being seen and has been seen a few months ago now in Germany ahead of that major election....

“I think some of this activity is even happening today, some of these spear phishing emails are going out today,” said Ed Cabrera, chief cybersecurity officer at Trend Micro. In one screenshot Trend Micro provided to BuzzFeed News, the hackers appeared to be targeting the Konrad Adenueu Stiftung, a German think tank which is affiliated with the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) Party of German Chancellor Angela Merkel. The hackers set up multiple internet addresses that mirrored those of the think tank to trick people into entering their passwords and other information

I will take this idea of triggering Article 5 in another direction......

Yesterday...the main Russian evening TV announcer basically in Russian stated that the French election could be won for Le Pen IF there was another terrorist attack...which we even saw Trump inject into the race with his tweet as well....and if we really looked closely at Trump his support for Le Pen goes actually deeper....than a tweet......

In January, Marine Le Pen held a fundraiser for her presidential campaign... at Trump Tower.
https://euobserver.com/elections/137613#

SO if in fact there is another terror attack and the French can trace it back to Russia....WOULD then NATO Article 5 be triggered?

An interesting question is it not?

[OUTLAW 09]

Bill..I said this morning that the Russians really do believe we the US are waging a non linear against them........

Nice to see that their TASS media outlet agrees with me.....
http://tass.com/politics/942643

Kremlin advisor reveals 'cure for US aggression'
Russian Politics & Diplomacy
April 21, 19:22 UTC+3

Putin's advisor also believes that Donald Trump is just "doing what the ruling elite expects him to do"




Fun fact: Glazev is a paid member of Malofeev's NGO. Malofeev bankrolled & tried to deliver coup in Montenegro. Extremely strong evidence held by Montenegro with them requesting an Interpol arrest warrant for Malofeev....

NOTE...Reuters recently reported that the USIC had two key documents from this Malofeev NGO that were the actual plans for the hacking and influence operations conducted by Russia against the US election adamently denied by Russian FM....and that they were signed off on by Putin....

Katehon 2nd member Glazev is a figure in #FrolovLeaks, commands active hybrid war branch frm Orthodox Church side against ukraine

Head of #Russian Institute of CIS Zatulin, in Jan 2013, writes a memo using terms "Sacred Crimea & Novorossiya"
https://informnapalm.org/de/frolovle...kam-der-krieg/
Only in German and or Russian

That memo, one year and one month prior to Crimean annexation, ends up on desk of Glazev, Putin advisor on developments in CIS.

Ukrainian Cyber Alliance (UCA) hacktivists shared with InformNapalm a massive data dump from the mailbox of Kirill Frolov, Vice-Director of the Institute for CIS Countries, spokesman of the Union of Orthodox Citizens and ROC expert....

Russian response was initially that it was all "fake" but in the end admitted he had been indeed hacked BUT by the CIA.....

https://informnapalm.org/en/frolovle...ine-episode-1/

https://informnapalm.org/en/frolovle...cs-episode-ii/

https://informnapalm.org/en/frolovle...ing-episode-3/

https://informnapalm.org/en/frolovle...ia-episode-iv/

https://informnapalm.org/31475-frolo...riot-epizod-v/
Only in Russian and or Ukrainian

https://informnapalm.org/de/frolovle...kam-der-krieg/
Only in German

NOTE...the UCA has also hacked into the email account of the Putin's personal adivsor to the Russian mercenaries in eastern Ukraine Surkov WHICH the US is now trying to open a back channel to by Trump's appointing of "WH special advisor" which does not need Congressional approval as a way to finally establish a back channel link between Putin and Trump.....

Again Russia claimed this hack was done after they first stated Surkov had no email account...by again the CIA.....they defintely were not about to admit UCA pulled it off....

Russian political warfare hard at work.....

BTW...it is extremley important to understand the Russian foreign spy service (SVR) chief who replaced Malefeev......and how he fits now into Russian political warfare.....as a mjaor player as he is very close to Putin....
http://russia-insider.com/en/putin-a...ine-again/5433

Further information on the UCA's hacks of Surkov Putin's personal man in eastern Ukraine.......

Surkov leaks show Russia funds and manages conflict in Ukraine http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs...e-leaks-show#…

[OUTLAW 09]

CRITICAL to understand this new Russian hack methodology......


Everyone needs to get their hands on the Micro Trend study of the Russian hacking attacks on the French president candidate Marcon.....

Russian hacking group Fancy Bear is using a new type of cyberattack to target Macron that's never been seen before
http://www.businessinsider.com/what-...-group-2017-4#

It has now been seen in other hacks in the last two weeks not focused only on the French.....

"They're taking advantage of vulnerabilities in cloud-based email services like Gmail to trick people into downloading fake applications, and compromising their inboxes without even having to steal a password."

Believe me cloud services are not as secure as the providers claim they are.....

[OUTLAW 09]

How @MFA_Russia spreads #fakenews. 3 @Twitter a/c's have 12,000+ fake followers. Some promo prostitution & rape porn
https://youtu.be/Xzg6lWa65es

[OUTLAW 09]

Montenegro Coup Suspect Linked to Russian-backed “Ultranationalist” Organisation via @bellingcat
https://www.bellingcat.com/news/uk-a...organisation/#

BUT WAIT..this goes exactly to what I have been saying about Russian trolls and US proTrump trollers.....they work together....

Breaking: Suspect in Putin backed coup attempt in Montenegro associated with pro Trump activists.