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Old 12-26-2012   #81
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Default Drones help in the fight against AQAP?

Twitter has been alive with pointers to events in Yemen, a re-organisation of the Yemeni security forces and of late a suspected US drone strike that was "off target" hence the FP headline:
Quote:
Anatomy of an Air Attack Gone Wrong: In rural Yemen, a botched attack on a terror suspect kills 12 civilians and destroys a community
Link:http://www.foreignpolicy.com/article...dead?page=full and a CFR article:http://blogs.cfr.org/zenko/2012/12/2...-war-in-yemen/

Moderator's Note

This thread was till today called 'The End in Yemen? Thread for 2011-2012' and has now been re-named for 2013 as 'Yemen: all you want (2011-2013)'.
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Old 01-02-2013   #82
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Default 'The Last Refuge' reviewed

Gregory Johnsen's book 'The Last Refuge' has now been reviewed by Bruce Hoffman:
Quote:
In The Last Refuge, Johnsen provides a useful depiction of how that war began, even if he, regrettably, offers no prediction of how and when it will end. The book relates a compelling story about an implacable and formidable enemy. Although more descriptive than analytical....
Bruce's review is a useful summary of how AQAP in the Yemen has got to where it is today.

Link:http://nationalinterest.org/bookrevi...7892?page=show
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Old 02-27-2013   #83
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Default Making Yemen even more complex

A BBC report:
Quote:
A recent crackdown in Yemen against protesters calling for southern independence has inflamed tensions in the country, and divisions look set to deepen....
Link:http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-21586344

Now whether AQ can exploit this situation is a moot point, partly as working in a coalition is not their way:
Quote:
What will be worrying to the Americans and Saudis is that some young people - in anger and desperation - are turning to al-Qaeda in the region. The group's numbers have grown in the south since 2011.......That is not to say that all Southern Movement protesters are supporters of al-Qaeda. Herak is an umbrella group for different groups, including those who want more autonomy under a federal system, those who want independence and also some parts of Ansar al-Sharia, which wants a religious emirate. They are very disorganised and all that unites them is a shared animosity to the central government.
(Added) A link to a Yemeni site giving more details:http://www.yemeniaty.com/2013/02/the...2007-2013.html
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Old 07-01-2013   #84
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Default The United States’ War on Yemen: Drone Attacks

I am sure events have happened in the Yemen since the last post, in February 2013, but we have all been distracted. Or is it "more of the same"?

I have posted on the drones thread a link to a Swiss / Yemeni NGO report for the UN Rapporteur on Human Rights & CT - on drones in the Yemen; it is unusual in gathering eyewitness testimony and providing local contexts:http://en.alkarama.org/documents/ALK...3_Final_EN.pdf
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Old 07-25-2013   #85
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Default Small update and a map

A short article in The Economist (free registration req'd) on the situation in Marib Province, where there are - diminishing - oil and gas resources and an interesting passage:
Quote:
For sure, it is undisputed that fighters loyal to al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP), which the Obama administration has marked down as a direct threat to the United States, hide in the province. But local tribes have not given them an eager welcome. Rather, AQAP fighters have exploited the security vacuum in areas where tribal structures have broken down and people are too weak to drive them out.
Link:http://www.economist.com/news/middle...e_for_al_qaeda

Of note is a small map showing where the drone strikes have hit. I was struck by their absence from the eastern province, which borders Oman and a broad swathe of the western, coastal provinces.
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Old 07-26-2013   #86
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Interesting article on water and qat in Yemen...

http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articl...5YWhvby5jb20S1

Quote:
In a little over a decade, Sana’a, Yemen, may become the world’s first capital to run out of water. Failed governance and environmental mismanagement share some of the blame for drying up the city. But there is also a more surprising culprit: a national addiction to qat, a narcotic that is incredibly water-intensive to cultivate...
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Old 08-08-2013   #87
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Default Yemeni people on drones creating enemies

An intrepid BBC lady journalist, Yalda Hakim reports from southern Yemen, where she asks is the use of drones creating as many enemies as they are killing? Hat tip to Gregory Johnsen via Twitter.

Podcast (13 minutes):http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-23606812

In which many Yemeni's giving their answer, ordinary people and the Foreign Minister, whose answer is:
Quote:
I've heard this argument, there might be some truth to it ... but no alternative.
There is a main thread on the Yemen, into which this will be merged:http://council.smallwarsjournal.com/...ad.php?t=12784
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Old 09-06-2013   #88
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Default We have not gone away, thanks for your help

A short review article 'Yemen al Qaida group appears to think globally, act locally', a month after the predicted massive attack:http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2013/09/0...#storylink=cpy
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Old 10-15-2013   #89
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Dual post.

Quote:
A U.S. command and control center in Yemen, used to direct drone strikes against al Qaeda havens in the country, was the target of a massive terrorist attack in the country late last month.

The Sept. 30 attempted assault on the military base in Mukalla on the country's southeastern coast was initially seen as an attempt by al Qaeda's Yemen faction to establish new strongholds in the country.

But the terrorist group, known as al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP), now claims the attack was an attempt to take out the U.S. command node in Mukalla and hamper American drone strikes in the country.
Read more: http://thehill.com/blogs/defcon-hill...#ixzz2hnq0xqry
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Old 04-21-2014   #90
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Default It's Easter, so time to be busy in the Yemen

Yemen has not gone away, although no SWC posts this year so far.

Well there is ample reporting that this weekend the USA and the Yemen have launched drone strikes and SF at a number of militant / AQAP targets. At one point there was specualtion that the target was AQAP's leading IED expert.

Several links: 1) LWJ http://www.longwarjournal.org/archiv...#ixzz2zX3W8veO

2) Just Security http://justsecurity.org/2014/04/21/o...ise-questions/

3) Gulf News, included as it actually spoke to some locals http://gulfnews.com/news/gulf/yemen/...emen-1.1322000
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Old 05-20-2014   #91
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Default Building or crumbling security?

A classic tale from the Yemen, a country that consistently confuses outsiders and now a convicted bomber, from the first, failed attack on US targets in 1992, is a senior security officer who says:
Quote:
I’m now a colonel in the Interior Ministry and was appointed as an assistant to the director of security for Mukalla.
Ends with:
Quote:
Over the past few years, the U.S. has refocused its attention on Yemen in a attempt to combat al-Qaeda, increasing aid and ramping up drone strikes. But at the same time elements of the Yemeni government appear to be playing a double game, welcoming U.S. aid with one hand and helping militants with the other.
Link:http://www.buzzfeed.com/shuaibalmosa...ihad-in-yemen?
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Old 08-25-2014   #92
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Default A classic from the Yemen, whilst we watched Mosul

At first you'd think this was a standard situation in war-torn lands:
Quote:
As the world’s attention was riveted on the lightening conquests of the Islamic State in Iraq, Yemen’s al-Huthi movement made an equally stunning but largely unnoticed military advance on Amran Governorate and captured the provincial capital, Amran, in July.
Ah, not so here, with my emphasis:
Quote:
The fall of Amran is even more stunning in light of what appears to be complicity by President Abd Rabbuh Mansour Hadi. Since January, al-Huthi fighters have been making steady progress on the ground, alternatively buying and coercing new tribal alliances, defeating military units, and strategically using the politics of the transitional period in Yemen. The al-Huthi movement was party to Yemen’s famous National Dialogue Conference and it is included in formal political discussions about the future of Yemen. Over the last six months, a pattern emerged: al-Huthi fighters would make incursions into new territory, President Hadi would send a delegation to negotiate a settlement, and the al-Huthi leadership would exploit the settlement to advance further its control of northern Yemen. President Hadi appears to be allowing the al-Huthi advances to hurt the Islah Party as part of a major reshuffling of the political landscape in Yemen.
Link:http://www.mei.edu/content/at/fall-a...ah-party-yemen
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Old 09-16-2014   #93
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Default Obama’s ‘Yemen Model’ for the War on ISIS Is a Wreck

A variety of commentators have wondered why President Obama referred to the 'success' of the Yemen and this Daily Beast article provides an update to events. It ends with:
Quote:
The Yemen model appears to have limited value fighting extremists, and even less establishing democracy.
Link:http://www.thedailybeast.com/article...-a-wreck.html?
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Old 09-22-2014   #94
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Default Here come the Houthis

I have watched recent events in the Yemen with a wary eye, then along comes a SME Gregory Johnson with this 'Yemen’s Bloody Weekend Leaves 100s Dead And Rebels On The Rise' and sub-titled The Houthi rebel movement is a growing power in troubled Yemen. Their rise is part of a feud that stretches back a decade, and the bloodshed is unlikely to end here:http://www.buzzfeed.com/gregorydjohn...he-ris#2669f0b

Nothing better explains the Yemen than this:
Quote:
This weekend, Houthi fighters clashed with soldiers loyal to Ali Muhsin al-Ahmar, one of the country’s most powerful generals and the former head of the First Armored Division. Ahmar, who led most of the wars against the Houthis over the past decade, is a holdover from the old regime. In late 2012, the First Armored Division was officially disbanded and its headquarters declared a public park. Ahmar and his men largely ignored the order. This weekend the Houthis took the law into their own hands, overrunning the military camp. The general however seems to have escaped.
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Old 09-22-2014   #95
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Nowadays it is largely forgotten that Zaidis were the state-building community that established Yemen as such: that back in the 1960s the British were hapily supporting their royalists (with help of Saudi money and Israel-provided arms, of course) against Egyptian troops deployed to support the (laicist) Republicans.

Instead, the West is following the Saudi dogma of Zaidis being some sort of Yemeni Hezbollah, trained and financed by Tehran, and not an autonomous group. Who cares then if Houthis feel sidelined, demand autonomy, approach to the Red Sea, participation in the government... If at all, Yemen is seen through the prism of 'War on al-Qaida' only.

Some recommended reading here would be Schmidt's 'Yemen: The Unknown War', and (one of latest to this topic) Duff's 'The War that Never Was'.

Added by Moderator

Schmidt's book was published in 1968:http://www.amazon.com/Yemen-war-Dana...he+Unknown+War

Duff's book was published in 2011:http://www.amazon.com/War-That-Never...that+Never+Was

Last edited by davidbfpo; 09-22-2014 at 10:23 PM. Reason: Mod adds
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Old 09-22-2014   #96
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BTW, newest rumour in KSA is that Gen al-Ahmar left the country and is about to get asyl in the UK.

The photo below should be showing a YAF Mi-17 helicopter that brought him to Jizzan, in KSA, earlier today.
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Old 09-23-2014   #97
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CrowBat View Post
Some recommended reading here would be Schmidt's 'Yemen: The Unknown War', and (one of latest to this topic) Duff's 'The War that Never Was'.

Added by Moderator

Schmidt's book was published in 1968:http://www.amazon.com/Yemen-war-Dana...he+Unknown+War

Duff's book was published in 2011:http://www.amazon.com/War-That-Never...that+Never+Was
Thanks David,

waiting for the start of US strikes on Syria and thus posting in rush.

BTW, additional details about Egyptian involvement in that war - including their early 'large scale' ground operations, but particularly involvement of their air force - can be found in the book Arab MiGs, Volume 1, co-authored by your very own.
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Old 10-05-2014   #98
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Default Did you notice there's been a change?

After a steady advance the Houthi clan have taken power in Sana'a and as this headline says 'Yemen's Capital Fell To A Rebel Group And The World Hardly Noticed':http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/1...?utm_hp_ref=tw

Somehow I expect nothing will change, Yemeni ways remain potent and confusing for the general outside observer.

Iona Craig, a resident reporter in country, commented:
Quote:
Since their lightning takeover of the city, Houthi militias have attacked the adversaries of former President Ali Abdullah Saleh and political rivals of current President Abdrahbu Mansour Hadi. But the apparent ease of the Houthi victory reveals much more about the smoke and mirrors of Yemeni politics than it does about the militiamen's fighting prowess. Indeed, by allowing the Houthis free rein of the capital, Hadi has taken a gamble that could bring more violence as the backlash against the Houthi uprising gains strength.
What next then? I doubut anyone knows and the last people with effective influence are us!
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Old 3 Weeks Ago   #99
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Default The Yemen is better than - quite a few n'bors

Quote:
Yemen is the only country in the Arabian Peninsula that is signatory to the 1951 refugee Convention and its 1967 Protocol. It currently hosts 246,000 refugees, including over 230,000 Somalis and smaller numbers of Ethiopians, Eritreans, Iraqis and Syrians.

In addition, there are more than 334,000 internally displaced Yemeni citizens who were either forced from their homes as a result of recent conflicts or living in longer-term displacement.

Link:http://www.unhcr.org.uk/news-and-vie...off-yemen.html
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