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Old 06-20-2016   #701
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Default Afghan-Pakistani feud and what next then?

I had not seen reports of the Afghan and Pakistani border guards exchanging gunfire @ Torkham border crossing, in the Khyber Pass and Pakistan then closing the border there:
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... the recent bloody border clashes between the Afghan and Pakistani military forces illustrate the common aversion of the Afghans towards their antagonistic eastern neighbours, Pakistan. The incident, which left three border guards and two children dead on the Afghan side of the Torkham crossing in eastern Afghanistan, stirred anger throughout the country.
Link:http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/2016/06/pakistan-double-games-afghanistan-160619065803423.html?


The author is an Afghan analyst.
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Old 01-09-2018   #702
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Default Logistics are back again

There has been a "lot of water has flowed under the bridge" since the last post, notably the advent of President Trump and the US-Pakistan relationship appears to have changed - even if General Mattis suggests a deal is still possible.

The Soufan Group's latest briefing provides a good overview and is even optimistic.
Link:http://www.soufangroup.com/tsc-intel...stan-tensions/

Forum veterans will recall this relationship has had "hard times" before and Pakistan has "turned the tap off" on overland transportation of supplies from Karachi to Afghanistan. The alternative route, the Northern Distribution Network, is fraught with issues and I understood it was no longer actually working.
The old, closed thread on logistics:Supply routes to Afghanistan

Just how the non-Afghan campaign, waged by the military and contractors can manage with overland transport is a moot point. Yes some items can be flown in, others cannot and would Pakistan still allow overflying?

A July 2017 WoTR article, thanks to a lurker:https://warontherocks.com/2017/07/th...ons-of-supply/
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Old 01-09-2018   #703
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Two viewpoints, one from Londonistani (UK national, now @ Chatham House) who knows Pakistan over many years working there and the second by Richard Olson, a former US Ambassador to Pakistan & SRAP.

Londonistani examines the strategic situation Pakistan is in now minus US support, an often ambivalent China, India being a perceived capable enemy neighbour and an inability to fund what it wants to do.

Link:https://www.chathamhouse.org/expert/...tan-s-problems

Mr Olson ends with:
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The United States can address Afghanistan only with a political initiative. The ultimate answer to the Pakistan conundrum is to start a diplomatic initiative to bring peace to Afghanistan by opening talks with the Taliban. Much of diplomacy is taking away the other side’s talking points, or excuses.The Trump administration has publicly stated that it sees the conflict ending only through a negotiated solution. It is difficult to understand why no such diplomatic initiative had been started.
Link:https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/09/o...id-engage.html


Whatever one thinks of President Trump talking to the Taliban is not going to happen; though others may and the Afghan state talks to all manner of people - that is their way of resolving conflicts.
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Old 01-13-2018   #704
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Default Partner and non-partner

The sub-title says it all:
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For the past fifteen years, Pakistan’s intelligence service has simultaneously been one of the C.I.A.’s best—and worst—partners in fighting terrorism.
Link:https://www.newyorker.com/news/news-...-with-pakistan
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