Well, the two Polish counties that comprise the Polish side of the Suwalki Gap contain 136,000 people, of which 47,000 are ethnic Belorussians (35%) and 5,900 are ethnic Lithuanians (4%). In the greater Voivodeship, there are over 1,137,000 Poles, comprising 96% of the population.
In Lithuania, the ethnic Russians are far from the Suwalki Gap...
Therefore, I don't see much room for Russia stirring up trouble Donbas-style...
The only way for Russia to seize the Suwalki Gap is by direct military force against Lithuania and/or Poland.
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