Syria in 2017 (January-April)

[Azor]

If you had been tracking the Russian AD coverage that I posted here many of the points were already well known just after the attack......

If you had read the CrowBat posts as well over the past year both S300s/400s are not a serious threat even to non TLAMs....which Russia has been trying to avoid talking about.....

BUT here is the interesting single point....at all weapons trade fairs over the past year..check the Russian materials being handed out.....

They emphasize the fact that both systems have a anti cruise missile capacity...question will be now can they hold those previous statements when potential buyers point out that fact????

Secondly, the EW use of Growlers formerly Prowlers is a well documented simple fact that even the Russians should have taken into account when setting up their AD bubbles....

NOW go to the Ukrainian thread and di out the comments of the Russian A2AD bubbles being built against NATO.....where they claim they cannot be broken through on ...you must then seriously question whether they are simply bluffing or outright lying......

In the Cold War days the Soviets literally built SA6/8 "belts" that had to be broken through by SEAD aircraft where the US calculated heavy loses during the 1st/2nd SEAD waves before the belts were broken....

NOW the Russians are talking about S500s......

Here is an interesting fact...if the cruise missile detection and engagement bubble is only 30/40kms what happens if the aircraft suddenly are Tornado's are Growlers using HARM type missiles travelling low and slow?

Remember this package was used often in VN with Prowlers armed with HARM type missiles leading the attack waves....usually followed by F4s...the high SAM shot down rates over VN was due to simply barrage firing of SAMs which in Syria the S300/400s cannot sustain....

Find it interesting though that the Russians signal their weaknesses in public and hopefully are trying to coverup their basic failure in detection and non downing of anything fired that morning...

Find it also interesting that they keep repeating on 23 hit anything when US ISR clearly tracked from start to finish 58...with one going down along the way...and one misfire....

What they did indicate as a major naval weakness inadvertently was the fact that they cannot fire their missiles either in pairs and or in combination with other ships simultaneously....or in the US case as a broadside like in the cannon days.... then go immediately into a complete reload at sea mode...

This is something the Russians cannot do....

McDermott is an expert on the Russian military and wrote the book on the South Ossetia War, which is how I began following him.

Some of what he wrote was a reiteration of what we already know or have deduced.

However, he has made good points about the Russians' admission that they have trouble detecting and targeting subsonic low-flying maneuverable cruise missiles such as the Tomahawk.

You will recall that there is grave concern over the efficacy of US cruise missiles, prompting development of the LRSO, etc. A number of analysts are concerned that US missiles are too slow, but it seems that stealth and maneuverability are actually better.

In addition, McDermott has noted that Russia has no A2/AD zones, but rather small bubbles.

Basically, as CrowBat would agree, the fears over Russian and Chinese SAMs are overblown both qualitatively and clearly quantitatively i.e. no more Cold War era dense belts...

[OUTLAW 09]

McDermott is an expert on the Russian military and wrote the book on the South Ossetia War, which is how I began following him.

Some of what he wrote was a reiteration of what we already know or have deduced.

However, he has made good points about the Russians' admission that they have trouble detecting and targeting subsonic low-flying maneuverable cruise missiles such as the Tomahawk.

You will recall that there is grave concern over the efficacy of US cruise missiles, prompting development of the LRSO, etc. A number of analysts are concerned that US missiles are too slow, but it seems that stealth and maneuverability are actually better.

In addition, McDermott has noted that Russia has no A2/AD zones, but rather small bubbles.

Basically, as CrowBat would agree, the fears over Russian and Chinese SAMs are overblown both qualitatively and clearly quantitatively i.e. no more Cold War era dense belts...

You cannot shot down what you cannot "see" and or "hit"....speed is not everything....

A number of analysts are concerned that US missiles are too slow, but it seems that stealth and maneuverability are actually better.

BUT what was missed in the Russian lying about number of hits was the accuracy of the 58 hits....and there are now some US sources saying the targeting of several inbound TLAMs was changed and or flights were corrected on the fly indicating just how far the US has come in the integration of missile GPS and satellites in " near real time" as there is a drag time of 3 seconds on the signal delay side....and in 3 seconds a missile travesl how far?

REMEMBER when the Russians fired their very first volley of their own cruise missiles from the Black Sea...video footage showed them flying somewhere over Iran and then targeting somewhere inside Iran and or simply crashing along the way...

Was designed to impress the US but largely failed in that attempt to impress anyone including the rebels....

Russian MoD can come nowhere close to this in any of the latest systems.....

[OUTLAW 09]

Damascus: Rebels shelling pro-#Assad forces at the #Irbeen frontline in Eastern #Damascus with an Omar cannon today.

Because the victims were taken to Turkey for treatment, funny @mod_russia doesn't know that
https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/2...haykhun-fake/#

[OUTLAW 09]

SO the USAF and the US Army will then be using Russian made fuels....in AFG...Iraq and Syria......WHAT happens if Russia does not deliver fuels to DoD?????

"Rosneft is poised to become one of the biggest foreign owners of American oil refining capacity"
https://news.vice.com/story/russia-o...nfrastructure#

[OUTLAW 09]

Putin is lashing out at anything looking like a rebel town and or village in Syria right now....

Russia dumping it's military budgets in Syria, dozens airstrikes today from South to North.

With no military sense

OTHER than punishing the Sunni civilian population for supporting FSA/HTS and company.....

[OUTLAW 09]

NOW we know the Trump Syrian FP and it is hard at work providing CAS for Assad....Iran...and the Russians....BUT not for FSA/HTS involved also in heavy fighting against BOTH IS and Assad.....

And again, #Trump bombed #ISIS for #Assad, #Iran & #Hezbollah ...

* Near Palmyra, two strikes destroyed two ISIS tunnels and an ISIS shed.


The #Kremlin regime again uses its high tech Su-35 to attack the free parts of the city.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yCMfonoPcbE#

Also #Daraa city is under heavy #Russian bombardment right now.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y4BR4DH9xf8#…

#Hama province shortly ago.
#Putin's Su-25 bombing towns and villages near the front.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7CWdIPYChA0#…

REMEMBER Trump vowed "to eradicate IS from the face of the earth"...so at least you would think he would support those Syrians actively fighting IS....

[OUTLAW 09]

The #Kremlin regime child killers are out in masses today, bombing cities N-W of #Aleppo.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fzeQX_raSl8#…

UK MSM is spreading fakes news as do the Russians and Assad it seems...
Dear @Daily_Star desk,
there has NEVER been an #ISIS presence in #Lataminah.
Next ISIS area is 70km away.
http://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/late...-clip-jihadi#…