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  1. #1
    Council Member carl's Avatar
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    I understand that if all those loans had not been forced to be made the whole thing would not have happened. I understand to that one reason all the various shenanigans went on was because the gov wasn't doing things like watching what was going on. I understand that the banking sector is too bigger to fail than it was before. I understand that much. What I don't understand is the infield fly rule, or why the Indians don't seem likely to win a pennant in my lifetime. Come on, 1948 was a long time ago, we only live so long.

    Uh, Fannie and Freddie were/are monstrous entities that pretend to be private institutions while taking advantage of the perception that any failures they had would ultimately be paid for by the taxpayer so that made them less risky...taxpayer money you see.

    One thing I see is investment bankers gave an awful lot of money to the campaign of Mr. Obama and that many of the high up guys dealing with investment banking issues in the gov were formerly investment bankers.
    Last edited by carl; 01-03-2013 at 02:54 AM.
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    Council Member Fuchs's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by carl View Post
    I understand that if all those loans had not been forced to be made the whole thing would not have happened.
    The banking sector would likely have blown up either way.
    Too many problems and inadequacies worked together to push for a crash. The U.S. economy produces a crash on the astonishing rate of about every decade. It's simply not stable or well-managed.
    The special role of the USD may be a hidden enabler for this, but I'm not sure. Maybe it's just plain old poor regulation and oversight, especially since the 80's.

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    Council Member carl's Avatar
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    Fuchs:

    There is something in what you say about poor regulation and oversight since the 80s. We gave up a lot of the rules that we established during the Depression in the interest of what ultimately turned out the be the interest of the big money men. We also have been developing a culture of impunity for the elites and the institutions dominated by them. That is going to get us in big trouble.

    The banking sector may or may not have blown up either way but it wouldn't have blown up in the way it did without gov action.

    The last real crash we had was the Depression. These things have been uncomfortable and disconcerting but not crashes on that scale. I don't know if the economy is stable or well managed. That sort of depends on what the definition of stable and well managed is, and that can vary depending on the men making it. That concerns me. It was free more or less. In the long run free is better even with the ups and downs. Creative destruction and all that.
    Last edited by carl; 01-03-2013 at 03:29 AM.
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    Council Member Fuchs's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by carl View Post
    In the long run free is better even with the ups and downs. Creative destruction and all that.
    You're also talking about the "too big to fail" sector here...

    Seriously, there's not much creative destruction any more in the U.S. economy or in European economies. Cassette tapes got pushed aside by CDs and there are some other anecdotes, but the big creative destruction moves don't happen because the existing winners are entrenched and have much influence on politicians and media. They can also pervert the patent and other copyright laws to their ends, by using them to kill off true innovators with fraudulent challenges.
    It's also very difficult to innovate and destroy something old in a world where technology has advanced so much that tech wizards in garages simply don't cut it any more. You need teams of dozens of people even for smallish development enterprises. There aren't many Dysons around.

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    Council Member carl's Avatar
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    Fuchs:

    Sadly I must agree. Little that is established is allowed to fail, especially in the financial world. We made noises about not letting things be to big to fail but the banking world is more concentrated than ever. I read an article in the Atlantic (that used to be a good magazine until it went straight party line about two years ago) years ago that said if the IMF was handling the US crisis in 2008, all those big banks would have been nationalized, broken up and sold. But of course it wasn't because the too many of the superzips would have been hurt. As you say, the existing winners protecting themselves.

    http://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/...t-coup/307364/
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    Council Member Backwards Observer's Avatar
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    Default what a piece of work is man

    Enjoy.


    U.S. Public Opinion on Torture, 2001–2009

    Many journalists and politicians believe that during the Bush administration, a majority of Americans supported torture if they were assured that it would prevent a terrorist attack. As Mark Danner wrote in the April 2009 New York Review of Books, “Polls tend to show that a majority of Americans are willing to support torture only when they are assured that it will ‘thwart a terrorist attack.’” This view was repeated frequently in both left and right leaning articles and blogs, as well as in European papers (Sharrock 2008; Judd 2008;Koppelman 2009; Liberation 2008).There was a consensus, in other words, that throughout the years of the Bush administration, public opinion surveys tended to show a pro-torture American majority.

    But this view was a misperception. Using a new survey dataset on torture collected duringthe 2008 election, combined with a comprehensive archive of public opinion on torture, we show here that a majority of Americans were opposed to torture throughout the Bush presidency. This stance was true even when respondents were asked about an imminent terrorist attack, even when enhanced interrogation techniques were not called torture, and even when Americans were assured that torture would work to get crucial information. Opposition to torture remained stable and consistent during the entire Bush presidency. Even soldiers serving in Iraq opposed the use of torture in these conditions. As we show in the following, a public majority in favor of torture did not appear until, interestingly, six months into the Obama administration. (Reed College Symposium)
    Public Opinion on US Torture, 2001-2009 - Reed College Symposium Paper

    +++

    Elizabethan Crime and Punishment - www.william-shakespeare.info

    What we can learn from the torture scene in Shakespeare's King Lear - firedoglake - 3.14.2010

    +++

    Lingchi - wikipedia

    +++

    Medieval Torture - medievality.com

    +++

    The Water Cure - new yorker - 2.25.2008

    +++

    Torture Practices of the Ancient World - spiegel - 5.15.2009

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    Council Member jcustis's Avatar
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    What do Fannie and Freddie have to do with waterboarding and collateral damage?

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    Council Member Dayuhan's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jcustis View Post
    What do Fannie and Freddie have to do with waterboarding and collateral damage?
    The link seems to be the proposition that torture, financial crises, and presumably much of the range of unpleasantness between trace back to a lack of some construct called "moral courage". Make of that what you will. I'm still not sure I understand what it's meant to be, beyond vigorous agreement with whoever is making the argument based on "moral courage".
    “The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary”

    H.L. Mencken

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    Council Member carl's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Backwards Observer View Post
    Public Opinion on US Torture, 2001-2009 - Reed College Symposium Paper
    That was a great paper. It is filled with all kinds of insight. It gives me hope that what a Sergeant said to a fearful Iraqi in Brandon Friedman's "The War I Always Wanted" is still somewhat true. The Sergeant said "We're Americans. We don't do that ####."

    The paper also brings up the question of why segments of the elite in gov, Cheney, Woo etc and the media, Jack Bauer and his ilk, why have they lost their moral foundation?
    "We fight, get beat, rise, and fight again." Gen. Nathanael Greene

  10. #10
    Council Member Backwards Observer's Avatar
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    Default that is the question

    Quote Originally Posted by carl View Post
    why have they lost their moral foundation?
    Don't ask me. I just work here.

    In sum, the study found, power doesn’t corrupt; it heightens pre-existing ethical tendencies. Which brings to mind another maxim, from Abraham Lincoln: “Nearly all men can stand adversity, but if you want to test a man’s character, give him power.”

    Why Power Corrupts. - Smithsonian - Oct, 2012.

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    Quote Originally Posted by carl View Post
    I understand that if all those loans had not been forced to be made the whole thing would not have happened. I understand to that one reason all the various shenanigans went on was because the gov wasn't doing things like watching what was going on. I understand that the banking sector is too bigger to fail than it was before. I understand that much.
    Then you understand nothing. Silver Thursday happened just fine without the government forcing anyone to buy anything. As for the government not watching what was going on--the government, at the behest of the finance industry, passed that responsibility down to private enterprise. Oops.

    Quote Originally Posted by carl View Post
    Uh, Fannie and Freddie were/are monstrous entities that pretend to be private institutions while taking advantage of the perception that any failures they had would ultimately be paid for by the taxpayer so that made them less risky...taxpayer money you see.
    That's not what was being discussed, and not what you agreed with Dayuhan over. Dayuhan specifically mentioned securitizing bad debt as a factor in the crash. Securitizing bad debt is a completely separate concept from taxpayer backing of bad debt.

    Quote Originally Posted by carl View Post
    One thing I see is investment bankers gave an awful lot of money to the campaign of Mr. Obama and that many of the high up guys dealing with investment banking issues in the gov were formerly investment bankers.
    Yes. It's unfortunate. Obama has shown slightly more willingness to restrict the finance industry than the GOP, but won't go so far as to throw people in jail for fraud on a scale that makes Bernie Madoff look like a three card monty hustler. So, because the Tea Party is even worse for the markets than Obama--seriously, trying to cancel the debt limit? Do you want to kickstart the zombie apocalypse? Wait, don't answer that--they've thrown their weight behind the Democrats. For the banks, it's a choice between total disaster and a slap on the wrist. For the lower and middle class, it's a choice between total disaster now and total disaster over the next few decades.

  12. #12
    Council Member carl's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by motorfirebox View Post
    Then you understand nothing. Silver Thursday happened just fine without the government forcing anyone to buy anything. As for the government not watching what was going on--the government, at the behest of the finance industry, passed that responsibility down to private enterprise. Oops.
    I do too understand stuff. Honest. I understand the offsides rule in soccer/football and I understand why when the Kuwaiti team long ago tried to depend on that they ended up failures. So that is something.

    The gov was watching what was going on. They were watching very closely to see that what they figured were enough of what the lending institutions had formerly figured were bad loans were being made to people who were poor credit risks. Then when those people couldn't pay, a predictable event, things fell apart.

    Quote Originally Posted by motorfirebox View Post
    That's not what was being discussed, and not what you agreed with Dayuhan over. Dayuhan specifically mentioned securitizing bad debt as a factor in the crash. Securitizing bad debt is a completely separate concept from taxpayer backing of bad debt.
    No, what I understood Dayuhan's main point to be was the gov establishing perverse incentives. In my view that sort of institutionalized moral hazard.
    "We fight, get beat, rise, and fight again." Gen. Nathanael Greene

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    Quote Originally Posted by carl View Post
    No, what I understood Dayuhan's main point to be was the gov establishing perverse incentives. In my view that sort of institutionalized moral hazard.
    Really? You understood "the perception that if you pool enough dubious loans together they somehow cease to be dubious" to be about government establishing perverse incentives? Because, wow. That's not at all what that phrase means.

    Quote Originally Posted by carl View Post
    I do too understand stuff. Honest. I understand the offsides rule in soccer/football and I understand why when the Kuwaiti team long ago tried to depend on that they ended up failures. So that is something.

    The gov was watching what was going on. They were watching very closely to see that what they figured were enough of what the lending institutions had formerly figured were bad loans were being made to people who were poor credit risks. Then when those people couldn't pay, a predictable event, things fell apart.
    Yeah, see, you can say you understand "stuff", but when you're flatly ignorant of the role the ratings companies played? That indicates that you actually don't understand stuff.

    Regardless, that's twice you've shifted goalposts in a single page, which is more crap than I'm willing to deal with.

  14. #14
    Council Member carl's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by motorfirebox View Post
    Really? You understood "the perception that if you pool enough dubious loans together they somehow cease to be dubious" to be about government establishing perverse incentives? Because, wow. That's not at all what that phrase means.
    I did understand. Though I had to read it real slow and then put my thinking cap on and cogitate hard before I got it. Because, wow, if government provides perverse incentives and subsidizes moral hazard, it may tend to lead to dubious groupthink.

    Quote Originally Posted by motorfirebox View Post
    Yeah, see, you can say you understand "stuff", but when you're flatly ignorant of the role the ratings companies played? That indicates that you actually don't understand stuff.
    I already said I understood the offsides rule in soccer/football. That is stuff, I think.

    Anyway, I do understand that because ratings companies were paid by financial institutions to rate them and the investments they offered there was an inherent conflict of interest. That was not a good thing. See, not so ignorant, at least not completely, totally, blindingly, maddeningly ignorant.

    Quote Originally Posted by motorfirebox View Post
    Regardless, that's twice you've shifted goalposts in a single page, which is more crap than I'm willing to deal with.
    I have a question. How come when I wrote #### as part of a quote in post 77 it came out ####, but when you write crap, it comes out crap? I don't understand that.
    Last edited by carl; 01-03-2013 at 04:31 AM.
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    Council Member carl's Avatar
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    Backwards Observer:

    You provide good links.

    That one says more or less that the good stay good and the bad stay bad. Our elites, to me, seem to be trending bad. I don't know why either. Maybe it has something to do with the paramount importance of being nice. That may sound paradoxical but in order maintain the right (thank you RCMP), you have to say no at times, which isn't nice.

    I don't know, I am still trying to puzzle this out.
    "We fight, get beat, rise, and fight again." Gen. Nathanael Greene

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    Council Member Surferbeetle's Avatar
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    Carl,

    As long as we are considering things, 'a man's character is his fate' is attributed to Heraclitus...

    ...PBS Frontline always has some interesting programs:

    The Crash: Unraveling the 1998 Global Crisis, http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/crash/

    Money, Power, & Wallstreet, http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontl...r-wall-street/

    ...and the Open Secrets: Money in Politics website is always interesting, http://www.opensecrets.org
    Sapere Aude

  17. #17
    Council Member Backwards Observer's Avatar
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    Default i got yer puzzle right here

    Quote Originally Posted by carl View Post
    Backwards Observer: You provide good links.
    Better nip this in the bud.

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    Quote Originally Posted by carl View Post
    I did understand. Though I had to read it real slow and then put my thinking cap on and cogitate hard before I got it. Because, wow, if government provides perverse incentives and subsidizes moral hazard, it may tend to lead to dubious groupthink.
    Wow. Just... wow.

    Wow.

  19. #19
    Council Member carl's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by motorfirebox View Post
    Wow. Just... wow.

    Wow.
    Yep. That's what they all say.

    (stage direction: that is to be said in a drawling Clint Walker sort of way. Like when he said to Kim Novak in a movie "Just because I talk slow don't mean I'm peculiar.")

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aOiqicU5-tk
    Last edited by carl; 01-03-2013 at 05:35 AM.
    "We fight, get beat, rise, and fight again." Gen. Nathanael Greene

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