Omar:
That isn't a confusing paragraph.
You know better than me but these are some guesses as to some of the points you raised.
The military/feudal elites of Pakistan will contest Talibanization of the country, mainly because they would lose too much money and influence. That will open the way for a fight.
Said elites will not ask India for help. Emotional reasons mainly but if they did, that would be a tacit admission that Pakistan isn't really a country, but a very unruly child that must inevitably come back to mother.
If India were to chose this course, and it worked, they could bleed the Pak Army/ISI forever. Even if the impossible happened and Pakistan asked India to save it, India could. All these fabled Afghan fighters have only managed success in the last 40 years when they have had substantial outside assistance. They can't manage on their own. If India sponsored Taliban bleeding of Pakistan, then withdrew that sponsorship, Taliban is done.
Pretty calculating stuff but big boys rules rule.
Of course all these things are the best that could happen. The worst that could happen is the nukes start flying and 3% to 4% of the worlds population dies suddenly.
You are right, what on earth are those genii in Pindi thinking?
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