Quote Originally Posted by Bill Moore View Post
Singularity will so radically transform not o my the character of war, but its very nature. Clausewitz's trinity will become less relevant, leaving many leading strategists without a fundamental basis for theory, resulting in a series of reactive responses to threats that will fundamentally transform our society and the concept of freedom we claim we defend. It will just happen, we won't see it until it is in our rearview mirror, then it will be to late to reverse the damage.

The trinity addresses passion, reason, and chance. These are the human elements of war, elements that will be either be transformed or eliminated altogether by artificial intelligence. The age of super empowered individuals and smalls groups gives these entities the ability to wage war or non-war autonomously resulting in those attacked only being able to defend. Forget addressing root causes, Mao is no longer relevant. Forget about centers of gravity and decisive points. It is time to think anew, yet the risk of legacy war will persist, resulting in trillions of dollars being spent on legacy military capabilities that are not only worthless for the new forms of war, they can be defeated by technology that's exponentially less expensive and available to a wider range of actors. Traditionalists don't like the term asymmetric warfare, but until we achieve symmetry in our capabilities, doctrine, and strategic thinking against these threats it will be asymmetric warfare and we'll have to run faster than we do now to adapt at the speed of war.
I’m afraid you are correct.

I’ve been writing on this specific topic for about 6 months:

https://www.cove.org.au/trenchline/a...v-twin-effect/
https://www.cove.org.au/author/chriselles/

I’m a big fan of Steve Blank(who has written blog post articles here):
https://steveblank.com/category/hacking-for-defense/

He has worked closely with Pete Newell(Rapid Equipping Force) and Joe Felter(now Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for South and Southeast Asia) to develop the Hacking4Defense program(I had the chance to go thru their H4D Educators Course).

I’m also a fan of Stan McChrystal’s and Chris Fussell’s books Team of Teams and One Mission.

I think the(or “a”) answer may be found in a mashup of the two.

An innovation platform and pipeline along the lines of H4D built on top of a hybrid organisational network that values and balances not just hierarchical power but referent/reputational influence.

I believe we need to develop a high level of deployment focused innovation capacity and capability organic to the defence force.

I’m just a Reserve NCO, but I’m trying to take a stab at something I call Innovation Art(publishing next week) to describe how and where innovation integrates with Operational Art and informs Strategy.

I even reference Clausewitz. Not his trinity, but friction.

Continuous decisive advantage can be found in continuous cumulative innovation.