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| Futurists & Theorists Future Competition & Conflict, Theory & Nature of Conflict, 4GW through 9?GW, Transformation, RMA, etc. |
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#161 |
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Council Member
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: "I have just left from Kentucky. It's the only sane thing to do if you find yourself there." - Anon.
Posts: 416
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What I'm more interested in is how (or if) airpower alters the relationship between the political object and military power. Is On War on AF reading lists? Here's my reading of Clausewitz: War is political. The political object defines the nature of the conflict. Victory becomes the immediate goal and replaces the political objective. Victory is achieved by subduing the enemy's will or destroying his capabilities. Most wars are limited because the political object is limited. I think it's absurd to suggest, therefore, that any form of power is "decisive" if it is not ultimately capable of subduing the will of the enemy or destroying his capabilities. And the way to do that is to deny the enemy space. Land. People don't live in the sky or in the ocean -- they're just ways to get to other people's land. Blow up a man's house from the air and he'll build another house. But take away his land upon which his house is built, and he'll be homeless.
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"But the flag of the North and South and West Is the flag of flags, the flag of Freedom's nation. " |
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#162 | |
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Council Member
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: The State of Partachia, at the eastern end of the Mediterranean
Posts: 3,947
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IMO, there is clear blue water between politics and the military. Yes, all war is political, but military means can only be applied to military problems or security problems. The concept of "military influence" is verging on the absurd, if taken too far. Military force can only legitimately be used against military or armed forces. If the problem is not a military one, then military force is a logically less than effective instrument. Military force is about breaking will. It is the imposition conditions that the enemy resists. It is not useful to frame that idea in the concepts of "sending messages" or "influencing people." The real problem with the air power weenies is there enduring quest to show that air power is an effective political or coercion/influence tool. We all know it is an historically indecisive military tool, and getting more and more limited in it's applicability.
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Infinity Journal "I don't care if this works in practice. I want to see it work in theory!" ![]() - The job of the British Army out here is to kill or capture Communist Terrorists in Malaya. - If we can double the ratio of kills per contact, we will soon put an end to the shooting in Malaya. Sir Gerald Templer, foreword to the "Conduct of Anti-Terrorist Operations in Malaya," 1958 Edition |
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#163 | |
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Council Member
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: "I have just left from Kentucky. It's the only sane thing to do if you find yourself there." - Anon.
Posts: 416
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I suspect Machiavelli would be in agreement with your statements, and he wrote those words some 500 years ago. I think to test the claim of decisive airpower, it'd have to be done counter-factually in order to isolate it as a variable. What if the US did not commit soldiers and marines to the Global War on Terrorism?
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"But the flag of the North and South and West Is the flag of flags, the flag of Freedom's nation. " |
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#164 | |||||
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Council Member
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,450
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American Pride,
Count me with you as one who is skeptical whenever someone makes a claim that a particular piece of the warfighting pie is or was "decisive." This goes equally to the air power and ground power mafias. It's my belief that the "whole is greater than the sum of the parts" when it comes warfighting and even the most "decisive" single capability has dependencies without which it wouldn't be "decisive." In reality, the way one organizes and employs various capabilities what is truly decisive. For example, it wasn't the tank or airplane that made the German military in WWII so effective, it was how those capabilities were organized and employed. So I agree with most of your excellent comment, especially this part: Quote:
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As for "On War," yes, it is required reading in Air Force circles. WILF, Quote:
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More limited in its applicability? Please explain that - in what areas is air power no longer applicable where it previously was? When did air power "peak" in terms of applicability? I think, if anything, air power is more applicable today than ever before, especially in the realm of conventional conflict. American Pride, Quote:
So again, the whole is greater than the sum of the parts. The ground power and air power weenies (to use WILF's term) would have you believe the other is merely incidental which is not the case at all IMO. |
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#165 |
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Council Member
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,450
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BTW, the Rand monograph linked in Tom's opening post to this thread was revised and updated. Here's the new link to Learning Large Lessons, The Evolving Roles of Ground Power and Air Power in the Post-Cold War Era
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#166 | |||||
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Council Member
Join Date: May 2007
Location: Florida
Posts: 8,058
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It's on the latter aspect that military power too often fails as a coercive instrument. I could make a strong case for the fact that virtually every US war occurred because an opponent thought the US was too lazy, introspective or hedonistic to respond to a provocation. Contemporarily, I'd go even further in pointing out that our current military operations are the result of four Presidents from both parties over a period of over 30 years -- and since 1979 in particular -- failing to show some will and responding not at all or very halfheartedly. Quote:
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#167 | |
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Council Member
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Olympia WA
Posts: 531
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#168 | ||
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Council Member
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: "I have just left from Kentucky. It's the only sane thing to do if you find yourself there." - Anon.
Posts: 416
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); and I think as war moves to its extremes it is revealed that the occupation of land is what places the enemy in a position of the most disadvantage therefore more likely to accept the terms of our demands. I assert that airpower is a secondary capability (which is relative term as I do not mean to imply ineffectiveness) on the basis that it cannot deny space to the enemy and therefore force him to disarmament.
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"But the flag of the North and South and West Is the flag of flags, the flag of Freedom's nation. " |
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#169 | ||||
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Council Member
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: The State of Partachia, at the eastern end of the Mediterranean
Posts: 3,947
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Midway was platform wacking. Something air power is good at. Quote:
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Infinity Journal "I don't care if this works in practice. I want to see it work in theory!" ![]() - The job of the British Army out here is to kill or capture Communist Terrorists in Malaya. - If we can double the ratio of kills per contact, we will soon put an end to the shooting in Malaya. Sir Gerald Templer, foreword to the "Conduct of Anti-Terrorist Operations in Malaya," 1958 Edition |
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#170 |
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Council Member
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Cirenaica
Posts: 374
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from today's USA Today:
http://blogs.usatoday.com/oped/2008/...-hearts-a.html While I don't consider USA Today to be a paragon of military analysis there are some key observations made: "Killing innocents with bombs is, of course, a disastrously ineffective way to compete with the Taliban for the hearts and minds of beleaguered Afghan civilians, which makes it infuriating that U.S. forces continue to make such mistakes." (first part true, second part a bit over emotional) "The Taliban, like other brutal guerrilla forces, deliberately puts civilians at risk to provoke just such disasters, which it tries to capitalize on no matter how they occur or how many civilians die." (while this may seem like stating the obvious I think some in the US military don't get the point) "An unnamed U.S. official quoted in The Washington Post said Taliban forces have figured out how to plant false intelligence and lure Americans into making airstrikes that kill civilians." (that's a pretty smart tactic, if true) "It's all one more reminder that if the war in Afghanistan is to be won — no lock in any circumstances — that it won't be won from the air but with troops on the ground." Sometimes I feel that airpower enthusiasts ignore the truth in the second and third quote. While I agree that airpower is a terrific force multiplier if I were the TB or AQ I would always make sure my leadership get togethers were under the guise of some other large gathering. That way should a nice PGM arrive at the meeting there would be plenty of dead women and kids lying around for propaganda purposes. Hey, but that's just me...
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"What is best in life?" "To crush your enemies, see them driven before you, and to hear the lamentation of the women."
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#171 |
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Council Member
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: TN
Posts: 274
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I was one of the lucky ones who got to clean up the pieces after a pilot claimed self defense and dropped a 500 pounder on the Canadians conducting training at Tarnak Farms. He called it in numerous times and was told not to drop it. His self defense claim was because of the tracers from their M240 machine guns. See if I remember right, tracer burnout is 900 meters. Kind of short range in comparison to 10,000 feet. This was the incident that brought about the Amphetamine use claim. I fully understand making bad decisions but this is an example of how different things look from 10,000 feet and the way they look from the ground.
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ODB Exchange with an Iraqi soldier during FID: Why did you not clear your corner? Because we are on a base and it is secure. Last edited by davidbfpo; 08-29-2008 at 08:47 AM. Reason: Add 'to' |
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#172 | ||||||||||
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Council Member
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,450
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However, I think it can be useful when combined with other forms of coercion and influence - IOW as part of an overall strategy that uses all appropriate forms of influence while recognizing that adversaries have "red lines" that even credible threats of military force will not budge. You're right to point out the problem of will, but I think that is a "feature" of democracy we will have to live with. Quote:
I'm not arguing that air power is decisive at the grand-strategy level of warfare. In my view, to say that air power can/can’t win wars is a foolish argument to begin with. It's like claiming that the naval component can win a war by itself. And even the land component. My view is that, for the US at least, the Civil War is over and we aren't going to face a situation where one service/component is going to do it all on its own. We succeed because we can integrate our forces that goes beyond "combined arms." At the tactical and operational and even sometimes at the strategic level, the various elements can be decisive factors and that includes air forces IMO. In that context, I believe air power was the most decisive factor in the two cases I put forth. Quote:
You got me there, though we both know those opponents have advantages we do not and never will posses.Quote:
American Pride, Quote:
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And claims in the article about the 90 civilians killed look to be propaganda. |
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#173 | |
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Council Member
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Olympia WA
Posts: 531
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#174 | ||||||
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Council Member
Join Date: May 2007
Location: Florida
Posts: 8,058
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We can agree it takes everyone and there is no one-service takes all situation (Except maybe in mid-ocean... ).
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#175 | |
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Council Member
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,450
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The culmination of this trend in aircraft design is the F-35, which is both a joint and international program and is intended to replace a handful of existing multirole aircraft from the USAF/Navy/Marines and allies, and service that diverse set of missions with one basic airframe. I'm somewhat skeptical that putting all those eggs in one basket will work in the end without serious compromises, but we'll see. Of course, there are some roles that require more specialized platforms - Aircraft carriers, aerial refuelers and, to a certain extent, bombers to name a couple. Multirole fighters simply don't have the range, payload and endurance to fill the bomber role in many cases. Recently there has been talk of a new bomber for the AF with a target IOC as early as 2018 - a date which is wishful thinking at best (the Navy UCAS multirole unmanned bomber program is already in development and won't be fielded until 2020 at the earliest). |
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#176 | ||
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Council Member
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,450
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Ken, when we come to agreement it really does make me feel smarter than I should. I know you get a lot out of it too, but this forum is very lucky to have you here.
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Why do you think I picked them?Quote:
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#177 |
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Council Member
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 1,844
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I find it odd we never talk about sea power, but I guess that is because the Navy never made the false claim they could win the war alone like some in the Air Force.
First, the question posed about how our opponents are doing without any form of air power was an excellent question to make one pause and perhaps lead to a paradigm shift, well done. Now just to be contrary I'll defend other than ground power, because I think the discussion is to limited and unnecessarily black and white. I have the view that we're always in conflict and we're always vying for some sort of advantage (strategic shaping) to prevent that conflict from escalating into war, and if it does, then being in a position to dominate if it does. If one nation wants to occupy another nation (Iraq occupies Kuwait, Japan occupies the Philippines, etc.) it may take an Army after the fact to oust them out, but in "theory" naval and air power could have prevented them from projecting their force in the first place. The same applies for projecting our shores, our air and sea power is critical. Is that decisive? Depends on how you define it, if it prevents an attack in the first place is it decisive? (I'm talking conventional not asymmetric). Several nations have long range weapons, we can launch nukes from submarines and silos and obliterate our nation state enemies. That serves as a real deterent if our enemy believes we have the political will to use those weapons. If a certain country presented serious threats to our nation, would the credible threat of destruction by strategic weapons be enough to alter their behavior without occupying their ground with troops? Of course credible implies we would use the weapons if they didn't comply; Japan as an example. Our naval, air and strategic weapon superiority has forced our enemies to adapt to what we generally call asymmetric approaches/tactics to achieve thier objectives. We haven't found a way to effectively use the powers that has caused this shift to counter asymmetric threats. Some members of the Air Power community seem to think this is possible through EBO where technology will allow us to be all knowing and all seeing so we can reach out from the sky and eliminate all the bad nodes. Maybe I'm a dinasour, but I think that is rubish. On the other hand, I think our air and naval power is absolutely critical to our national defense, and for more reasons than I addressed here. |
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#178 | ||
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Council Member
Join Date: May 2007
Location: Florida
Posts: 8,058
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Entropy; you're too kind but the check is in the mail (and I think I learn a whole lot more here than I impart).
![]() Nope. I missed the news flash on the EBS (don't go there... ) but I do know about B52 mine capability and a couple of other AF tricks in the ocean in motion...Bill Moore: Well said -- as you aptly point out it's a whole lot more complex than tactical application. Your comments on strategic deterrence and this: Quote:
ADDED, inadvertently truncated: I said this earlier about military force as a policy instrument: ""However, I disagree on this. It can be an excellent coercive tool, even without actual application if the strength and, far more importantly, the previously demonstrated will to use it if necessary is present. It's on the latter aspect that military power too often fails as a coercive instrument. I could make a strong case for the fact that virtually every US war occurred because an opponent thought the US was too lazy, introspective or hedonistic to respond to a provocation. Contemporarily, I'd go even further in pointing out that our current military operations are the result of four Presidents from both parties over a period of over 30 years -- and since 1979 in particular -- failing to show some will and responding not at all or very halfheartedly." I'd add an interesting thought. In most of those earlier wars, our military unpreparedness was almost always a major factor in the opponents miscalculation; that was a possibly a larger concern than our will. Since 1955 or so, our military preparedness has certainly been commensurate with the various threats -- now our will is suspect. Thus, this comment by Bill Moore is important: Quote:
Last edited by Ken White; 08-29-2008 at 09:31 PM. Reason: to add the last paragraph I chopped off:( |
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#179 |
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Council Member
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Cirenaica
Posts: 374
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__________________
"What is best in life?" "To crush your enemies, see them driven before you, and to hear the lamentation of the women."
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#180 | ||
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Council Member
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Montreal
Posts: 1,568
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Airstrikes not answer to war in Afghanistan By JOHN A. ROBINSON Thursday, September 25, 2008 Quote:
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