General CT in Europe (catch all)

[davidbfpo]

Peter Nesser has an article, giving an overview of European terrorism and it features a chart, which defies copying.
Link:https://www.politico.eu/article/euro...war-on-terror/

[davidbfpo]

Via Twitter, citing a newspaper report with no English version:

At least 8 informants of police agencies or domestic intelligence met w/, saw or observed #Berlin Christmas Market attacker Anis #Amri according to our investigation. Only one of them seems to have reported back fully and honestly.

Link to Twitter:https://twitter.com/abususu/status/1073542216184942594 and the original report:https://www.zeit.de/2018/52/anschlag...-offene-fragen

I have always been puzzled how Italy has largely avoided Jihadist attacks this might help to explain:

In the past years, expulsions on the grounds of extremism have acquired a key role in the Italian strategy to counter the jihadist threat.¹ 2015 in particular, marked an important change in the use of this tool.....the number of expulsions has grown significantly in the past 4 years. 66 deportations were made both in 2015 and 2016. In 2017 the number rose to 105 and grew again in 2018: on November 26 of this year, Italian authorities had carried out 112 expulsions.

Nice chart too, too big to show here:https://www.ispionline.it/en/publica...xtremism-21804

Finally Lorenzo Vidrino, a SME, now in Washington DC, has an overview review of CT in Europe.
Link:https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-46557305

[davidbfpo]

As the Strasbourg killer illustrated Europe has a problem with antique firearms, his revolver was over a hundred years old.

Then I found via Twitter an EU-funded research project, Project Safte on Firearms and Terrorism in Europe. There is a free book, Triggering Terror: Illicit Gun Markets and Firearms Acquisition of Terrorist Networks in Europe, with individual chapters on several European nations.
Link:https://www.flemishpeaceinstitute.eu/safte/publications

In the French chapter on pgs 42-44 there is a Table 6 'Firearms seized in recent attacks inspired by radical Islamist'.
Link:https://www.flemishpeaceinstitute.eu...fte_france.pdfilogies

[davidbfpo]

[davidbfpo]

Via Twitter from Belgium somewhat startling until explained:

We’ve got interesting figures from the Coordination Unit for Threat Analysis in in Belgium (OCAD/OCAM). Of the 100 foreign terrorist fighters (FTF) back on Belgian soil, 75% of males and 90% of females aren’t considered as a serious terrorist threat anymore. On a total of 422 fully identified Belgian FTFs, 130 have left the war. 10 have died subsequently (mostly by committing attacks), and 20 are detained in other countries. Of those back in Belgium, 40 are imprisoned (of whom only 2 women) and of those free, 60% are male.

Most of the FTF who have returned in Belgium, did so early on - i.e. prior to the June 2014 declaration of the caliphate by Islamic State. So their degree of disengagement might not be representative for FTFs eventually returning now.

OCAD/OCAM doesn’t expect a massive return of Belgian FTF anymore. Of the 292 who didn’t come back, 141 were reportedly killed. But in reality, that figure is thought to be significantly higher by now.

In terms of terrorist threat, home grown terrorist fighters are considered a much more important problem in Belgium nowadays than FTFs who have returned. About 50 of these FTF are listed as a possible terrorist threat by OCAD/OCAM, and only 2/3 is currently behind bars.

Having not heard of this body here is their website, in English; which does not show such a report:http://www.comiteri.be/index.php/en/...eat-assessment