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  1. #1
    Council Member davidbfpo's Avatar
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    Default Intent, capability and lethality

    Hat tip to WoTR for this article 'Lone actors -v- remote controlled jihadi terrorism rethinking the threat to the West' by Professor Mullins, an Australian and currently in Germany. The purpose is well explained in this sentence:
    It is therefore important to re-examine the concept of lone-actor terrorism and to try and appreciate where it fits within the overall spectrum of jihadist terrorist activity in the West.
    Link:https://warontherocks.com/2017/04/lo...t-to-the-west/

    This graphic is very useful, especially when the author points out that the numbers in brackets refer to number of fatalities vs number of attacks.


    He ends with:
    The threat to the West is real and we cannot afford to let down our guard, but our adversaries’ intent is far greater than their capabilities. Moreover, this is an indicator of largely successful counter-terrorism. Members of the general public and policymakers alike should understand and appreciate this.
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    Council Member davidbfpo's Avatar
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    Default Reforming Transatlantic Counter-Terrorism

    A previously unheard of report by an unknown group, that was published online in October 2016; they are a Central European security group, headquartered @ Bratislava, Slovakia under the title Globsec Policy Institute.
    Link to the 34 pg. report:http://www.cepolicy.org/publications...nter-terrorism

    It is a broad brush review by "wise old heads", Michael Chertoff being the American aboard and in places quite revealing.

    I am just not convinced the solutions are really fit for purpose, if only as the jihadist's focus so far is not on the smaller European nations; nor that what the USA has done structurally is acceptable.
    Last edited by davidbfpo; 04-21-2017 at 05:45 PM. Reason: 47,407v
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    Council Member davidbfpo's Avatar
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    Default 46 years of terrorist attacks in Europe, visualized

    A WaPo article, with many graphics; as the sub-title says:
    From 1970 to 2016: 5,215 people died from bombings. 2,463 from assassinations. 2,270 from assaults. 957 from hostage situations. 183 from hijackings. 88 from building attacks. Thousands wounded or missing.
    Link:https://www.washingtonpost.com/graph...ism-in-europe/
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    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by davidbfpo View Post
    A WaPo article, with many graphics; as the sub-title says:
    Link:https://www.washingtonpost.com/graph...ism-in-europe/
    All in an effort to portray the spate from the 1990s-on as "normal"...

  5. #5
    Council Member davidbfpo's Avatar
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    Default Two commentaries

    A lengthy comment on European relations on the 'southern front line', alas only about Morocco and Tunisia.
    Link:http://www.ecfr.eu/publications/summ...sm_cooperation

    The second is shorter by Peter Meumnann, of ICSR @ Kings College, has a broader remit 'ICSR Insight – ISIS And Terrorism In Europe: What Next?'.
    Link:http://icsr.info/2018/02/icsr-insigh...m-europe-next/
    Last edited by davidbfpo; 02-17-2018 at 11:51 AM. Reason: 123,186v
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    Default

    A PhD thesis available for free: 'Right-Wing Terrorism and Violence in Western Europe: A Comparative Analysis' and the Abstract says:
    Using new and unique events data, this thesis examines the evolution of right-wing terrorism and violence in post-WWII Western Europe. Notably, the thesis shows that that the number of deadly events has declined in Western Europe under conditions commonly assumed to stimulate right-wing violence, such as increased immigration and growing support for radical right parties. It also shows that some countries have experienced considerably more right-wing violence than others between 1990 and 2015. To explain this variation, the thesis identifies two explanatory models. In Northern Europe, right-wing violence has been most extensive in countries characterized by high immigration combined with low support for anti-immigration parties and public repression of radical right actors and opinions. In Southern Europe, right-wing violence has been most extensive in countries characterized by authoritarian legacies combined with socio-economic hardship and extensive left-wing terrorism. Finally, the thesis offers an in-depth study of the Nordic countries aimed at explaining why right-wing terrorism and militancy have been more widespread in Sweden than in Denmark, Finland, and Norway.
    Link:https://www.duo.uio.no/handle/10852/60365 or http://urn.nb.no/URN:NBN:no-63024
    Last edited by davidbfpo; 02-25-2018 at 07:35 PM. Reason: 124,556v
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