A two-part Q&A with Norwegian SME Peter Nesser, who makes an important point at the start:
We need to include the foiled attacks to gain a better understanding of the threat. If we only look at launched attacks, we risk being unprepared to face tomorrow’s threat.
(Later) If we take a look at the foiled plots in 2018 alone, there is no doubt that IS supporters have had ambitions to carry out large-scale attacks in Europe.
Link:https://eeradicalization.com/a-conve...nesser-part-1/

In part two:
I expect the threat in the near future to continue along the same lines, but with more stealth and new uses of technology.(On returning foreign fighters) Only a minority among those who return will probably take part in international terrorism in the future, but those who do can be capable of doing a lot of damage.
Link:https://eeradicalization.com/a-conve...-plots-part-2/