Results 1 to 20 of 161

Thread: Honduras (catch all)

Threaded View

Previous Post Previous Post   Next Post Next Post
  1. #11
    Council Member AnalyticType's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jun 2009
    Location
    Austin, Texas
    Posts
    66

    Wink I'm not much of a beer fan...

    but I'll accept a nice glass of white merlot.

    This software beats the hell out of manually constructing a matrix!

    One of the things that my professor neglected to teach was the necessity of working across the matrix evaluating a piece of evidence against all hypotheses, rather than working down through all evidence under a hypothesis. When I was first learning this method, I had all kinds of frustration going on. Between the ACH tutorial and chapter Eleven in the book The Thinker's Toolkit I found the process much easier and effective.

    The thing that I like about it is that one matrix can be used to evaluate many hypotheses simultaneously. The software runs the math functions, making it easier to eliminate the highly unlikely hypotheses. Then you can identify intelligence gaps, consolidate or split hypotheses (add new ones too) and improve your evidence list, then reevaluate. I didn't take the time to refine my matrix in this manner yesterday, but if this were for a product I would have done so.

    Quote Originally Posted by J Wolfsberger View Post
    ...AT, I owe you a beer if we ever run into each other. I've been looking for a package to do this for some time now.
    Last edited by AnalyticType; 07-02-2009 at 02:15 PM. Reason: ...fixin' typos...
    "At least we're getting the kind of experience we need for the next war." -- Allen Dulles

    A work of art worth drooling over: http://www.maxton.com/intimidator1/i...r1_page4.shtml

Similar Threads

  1. UK military problems & policies
    By SWJED in forum Europe
    Replies: 267
    Last Post: 01-15-2019, 05:09 PM
  2. Sierra Leone (catch all)
    By Tom Odom in forum Africa
    Replies: 11
    Last Post: 08-01-2017, 12:19 PM
  3. Biometrics (catch all)
    By Lupo49 in forum Equipment & Capabilities
    Replies: 16
    Last Post: 03-10-2016, 01:11 PM
  4. How does an analyst catch a terrorist?
    By davidbfpo in forum Intelligence
    Replies: 4
    Last Post: 03-17-2015, 02:46 AM
  5. Don't Send a Lion to Catch a Mouse
    By SWJED in forum Futurists & Theorists
    Replies: 23
    Last Post: 03-15-2007, 11:46 AM

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •