A viewpoint from IISS:http://www.iiss.org/publications/str...uth-china-sea/

Which ends with:
The future is therefore likely to see escalating naval competition and confrontation involving paramilitary forces, even amid diplomatic moves to manage the dispute.
There is IMHO a countervailing stance available, given by the Chinese Defence Minister in June 2011, summarised in an IISS Newsletter:http://www.iiss.org/publications/iis...1/summer-2011/

Fuller details are on:http://www.iiss.org/conferences/the-...dialogue-2011/