Ukraine: military (Aug '14 to mid-June '15) closed

[OUTLAW 09]

Russian invaders show themselves with a 240mm mortar,proving they use the 2S4 “Tyulpan” in #Donetsk
Link:https://twitter.com/search?q=pic.twi...kmChR&src=typd

[OUTLAW 09]

Russian invaders show themselves with a 240mm mortar,proving they use the 2S4 “Tyulpan” in #Donetsk
Link:https://twitter.com/search?q=pic.twi...kmChR&src=typd

This type of weapons system was forbidden under the Minsk agreements.

VIDEO: More alleged footage of Russian military equipment arriving in Donetsk region

http://youtu.be/cjYpEVayzfA
pic.twitter.com/Qwm5PYYeAE

Breaking News @OSCE_SMM wakes from hotel beds and says it saw an "unknown convoy of trucks" (after everybody else)

VIDEO #Russia convoy 80 veh IN #RUSSIA BEFORE enter #Ukraine today https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=plPg...kaKdJxqDd4JksA … IN
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dq1iBchjVFk …
pic.twitter.com/mco474wz0O

Echelon in Kamensk-Shakhtinsky, Rostov region
http://liveuamap.com/en/2014/9-novem...rostov-region- …
pic.twitter.com/iOZg2GAnc

#Donetsk sees most intense combat since ceasefire
http://dw.de/p/1DjdN

[OUTLAW 09]

This type of weapons system was forbidden under the Minsk agreements.

VIDEO: More alleged footage of Russian military equipment arriving in Donetsk region

http://youtu.be/cjYpEVayzfA
pic.twitter.com/Qwm5PYYeAE

Breaking News @OSCE_SMM wakes from hotel beds and says it saw an "unknown convoy of trucks" (after everybody else)

VIDEO #Russia convoy 80 veh IN #RUSSIA BEFORE enter #Ukraine today https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=plPg...kaKdJxqDd4JksA … IN
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dq1iBchjVFk …
pic.twitter.com/mco474wz0O

Echelon in Kamensk-Shakhtinsky, Rostov region
http://liveuamap.com/en/2014/9-novem...rostov-region- …
pic.twitter.com/iOZg2GAnc

#Donetsk sees most intense combat since ceasefire
http://dw.de/p/1DjdN

#NSDC says #Russian troops in #Donbas could stage massive provocations to "justify" deploym Rus "peacekeepers"

How to hide your license plate, Russian style
http://www.themoscowtimes.com/multim...tyle/5457.html …
pic.twitter.com/C35BGpfgKa

[OUTLAW 09]

Appears now that the Russian propaganda has forced Putin into a corner--definitely not the effect info war wants.

Vedomosti:"Russia's pushed itself into a corner (over E.Ukraine).Russian media whipped up a hysteria that deprives politics of flexibility"

[OUTLAW 09]

See professional #Russia|n paid #troll.Entire list of #trolls in watchlist.Pretends studying #counterterrorism.#cyber

pic.twitter.com/SVGZhi0WPk

[OUTLAW 09]

Appears that even Putin is not fully in touch with the eastern Ukraine reality on the ground--he stated today in RIA that "he does not understand why the MH17 investigation is not moving ahead as the mercenaries do n ot control the crash site".

Journalists reported today as well they were controlled a number of times in and around the crash site by mercenary checkpoints.

Seems Putin did not get the memo about mercenary checkpoints actually being in the crash site area.

[OUTLAW 09]

Seems as if the Russian Army forgot to take off their vehicle license plates when they crossed the border again today.

But hey Putin just keeps on stating--no Russian troops in the Ukraine.


#BreakingNews Ukrainian @NSDC_ua posts video with military trucks with #lisence_plates as "RF trucks".

https://twitter.com/NSDC_ua/status/531768884303757312 …

[kaur]

OSCE UAV jamming.

This tiny Camcopter will help OSCE monitoring the shaky ceasefire in Ukraine
Oct 25 2014

http://theaviationist.com/2014/10/25...100-camcopter/

4 November 2014 At 13.01hrs and again at 13.19hrs the SMM UAV was subjected to serious electronic jamming while flying over “DPR”-controlled Chermalyk (40km NE of Mariupol). Initial analysis of the SMM UAV flight log data indicated that the SMM UAV was subjected to military-grade GPS jamming.

http://www.osce.org/ukraine-smm/126364

8 November 2014 It is decisive that all sides strictly observe the commitments made in the framework of the Minsk protocol and memorandum and stay away from acts which could lead to new escalation, he added. The CiO thanked the SMM for its substantial reports and concluded by calling on all sides to provide conditions that allow for unhindered SMM monitoring, including by means of UAVs,

http://www.osce.org/cio/126484

[OUTLAW 09]

A day in the life of the Ukrainian Army dealing with "an incursion" not an "invasion".

#BRK
Eye witnesses claim seeing a Russian army Pantsir-S1, just 500m from an Ukranian checkpoint near #Mariupol.
https://translate.googleusercontent....jSZ5hTPQ2lEncA …

Glad to see, also @ukrpravda_news incorporated my reporting on Russian army tanks in #Donetsk.

http://www.pravda.com.ua/news/2014/11/10/7043745/ … pic.twitter.com/ZbskdXhu9i

60 km from Russian border we observed a convoi this morning with 15 armytrucks plus artillerie. Heading for Donetsk.
pic.twitter.com/dssK6LD0vN

#BreakingFootage from #Debaltseve, which is under heavy Russian shelling now.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wjGdHIHmuMw …
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BhJjokJ3qCY …

@SimonOstrovsky spots 5 tanks heading west out of #Shakhtarsk, 2 APCs flying #Russia|n flags r close behind #ukraine
pic.twitter.com/hy6b5OJzOm

http://vk.com/ohotnik_za_golovami … https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M1FSJJ-vFvA … 'Volunteer' fr #Moscow, #Russia, b/vlogs abt #Ukraine's 'civil war'
pic.twitter.com/ayzEbsky4V

Invasion of Ukraine: Almost all the troops which stood near the Ukrainian border have entered Donbas....
http://fb.me/1GbT5gG4c

There are again reports of Russian troops fighting each other in #Horlivka with one group, willing to further advance, other to talk w/Ukr.

http://vk.com/wall-73804977_66068 … #Russian 'volunteer' fr #Moscow killed by rival warlord in #Russia-occupied #Makiivka,#Ukraine pic.twitter.com/Odo39yiSa0

URGENT: Russian and Separatist Tanks on the Move in Ukraine. T-72s Appear To Be Variety Not Used By Ukraine
http://bit.ly/1uVW2dZ

Military confirms 12 Russian paratroopers suspected of dying in Ukraine were killed outside base, but won't say where
http://vedomosti.ru/~HRR

#BreakingFootage claims to show Russian troops, advancing in #Marinka, S-W of #Donetsk.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4aiVtF5GlZ0

[OUTLAW 09]

For those that believe international organizations are not under control of Russia---ie the OSCE.

If one looks at the Russia UW strategy it foresees the use of NGO types of organizations to mislead and misinform.

There has been massive accusations by the Ukraine that the OSCE is not impartial and has been passing info on Ukrainian military positions to the mercenaries and or "not seen" Russian troop and equipment convoys until bloggers and the western media point out the constant convoys.

"They [@OSCE_SMM] are very aggressive towards our military. Moreover, they convey information about the location of our troops."
#Ukraine

.@OSCE mission staff in #Donetsk & #Mariupol are 80% #Russia|n, AND #FSB / #GRU Intelligence agents — #Ukraine's MoD
pic.twitter.com/em3Fpe8CsR

[OUTLAW 09]

For those that believe the ceasefire violations as the Russians state over and over come from the Ukrainian Army side---the first video released by the mercenaries of them planning and carrying out artillery strikes on Ukrainian positions.

VIDEO #Russia terrorists plan & execute artillery barrage on #Ukraine positions (Eng Subs)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wbyi...iYCH0Mmgq85jNQ …
pic.twitter.com/vpveRFKHwf

[OUTLAW 09]

Russia is in full "invasion" mode and the West says nothing---notice the silence from the US civilian leadership.

Notice all they do is "urge"--but nothing stronger than "urge"---"urge" has never stopped a shooting war.
U.S. Urges Russia To 'Stop Fueling The Fire' In Ukraine
http://bit.ly/1uhUskA
pic.twitter.com/BVsrTJq803

Even after 40 confirmed serious security/air space breaches by Russian aircraft and one near miss of a civilian passenger jet yet still no response from the US civilian leadership.

There are some in Europe openly accusing the US of remaining silent as they feel Russia is nudging the Iranians to a compromise and do not want to endanger that---so the silence on the Ukraine is proof of that.

Might in fact be true but the current Iranian Supreme religious leader Khamenei with his tirade against the Israeli's last week might have been the signal Iran is not going to compromise.

Khamenei's tweets to annihilate Israel were cause to break off the nuclear negotiations & announce a reconsideration of Iran policy.

Now back to the Russian non "invasion invasion".

#BREAKINGNEWS
LARGE SCALE #RUSSIAN_ARMY REINFORCEMENTS ARRIVE IN #DONETSK CITY.
D-30, BM-21
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iSnU3xWDIjY …

Tymchuk: #Russia reactivated an airbase on #Ukraine's border & in the last 24h at least 20 planes carrying Russian troops/arms landed there

BREAKING:
LARGE SCALE #RUSSIA|N ARMY REINFORCEMENTS ARRIVE IN #DONETSK CITY.
D-30, BM-21
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iSnU3xWDIjY …
pic.twitter.com/0zlhtb0GAA

BREAKING Fresh #Russian army column in #Ukraine heading for #Donetsk on Nov11. 36 KamAZ trucks, 8 GRAD units,7 D-30s https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iSnU3xWDIjY …

Enemy is most active at #Debaltseve, #Luhansk, #Donetsk dir. #Russia keeps reinforcing attack groups - Tymchuk
pic.twitter.com/LEBz15c1qE

Large military convoy driving to #Donetsk as we follow Dutch experts out of city to #MH17 crash site

VIDEO #Russia daily invasion convoy H21 Motorway #Donetsk 36 KAMAZ Trucks,8 GRAD,etc
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iSnU3...ature=youtu.be … #Ukraine
pic.twitter.com/T8na8AFJQO

Russia-sponsored separatists in #Novoazovsk, #Donetsk region has got the SA-22 Greyhound missile launcher - military expert Tymchuk.

Other vehicles that also came in with #Russia invasion convoy #Donetsk #Ukraine-troops in bus,poss GRU intel vehicles
pic.twitter.com/6QuvgDuQnr

#Russia invasion convoy to #Donetsk packed with ammo & a possible portable mortuary -meaning offensive war #Ukraine
pic.twitter.com/DQ9HqrihVO

[OUTLAW 09]

For those that believe international organizations are not under control of Russia---ie the OSCE.

If one looks at the Russia UW strategy it foresees the use of NGO types of organizations to mislead and misinform.

There has been massive accusations by the Ukraine that the OSCE is not impartial and has been passing info on Ukrainian military positions to the mercenaries and or "not seen" Russian troop and equipment convoys until bloggers and the western media point out the constant convoys.

"They [@OSCE_SMM] are very aggressive towards our military. Moreover, they convey information about the location of our troops."
#Ukraine

.@OSCE mission staff in #Donetsk & #Mariupol are 80% #Russia|n, AND #FSB / #GRU Intelligence agents — #Ukraine's MoD
pic.twitter.com/em3Fpe8CsR

So the OSCE is "neutral"?

#OSCE disclosed location of Ukr mil equip @ a meeting w/ Rus!, Ukr reps at Joint Control-Coordinat center y'day
http://zn.ua/UKRAINE/obse-raportuet-...h-158496_.html

This is the core reason Putin and Russia constantly keep pushing back they have troops in the Ukraine and are sending heavy equipment into eastern Ukraine--if they admit it then they are forced out of the OSCE Observer missions for the length of the conflict---that they cannot afford to do.

If #Russia would be recognized as part of conflict in E #Ukraine,its observers would be suspended from @OSCE_SMM work
pic.twitter.com/wFwVhtI4J6

[OUTLAW 09]

Russia is in full "invasion" mode and the West says nothing---notice the silence from the US civilian leadership.

Notice all they do is "urge"--but nothing stronger than "urge"---"urge" has never stopped a shooting war.
U.S. Urges Russia To 'Stop Fueling The Fire' In Ukraine
http://bit.ly/1uhUskA
pic.twitter.com/BVsrTJq803

Even after 40 confirmed serious security/air space breaches by Russian aircraft and one near miss of a civilian passenger jet yet still no response from the US civilian leadership.

There are some in Europe openly accusing the US of remaining silent as they feel Russia is nudging the Iranians to a compromise and do not want to endanger that---so the silence on the Ukraine is proof of that.

Might in fact be true but the current Iranian Supreme religious leader Khamenei with his tirade against the Israeli's last week might have been the signal Iran is not going to compromise.

Khamenei's tweets to annihilate Israel were cause to break off the nuclear negotiations & announce a reconsideration of Iran policy.

Now back to the Russian non "invasion invasion".

#BREAKINGNEWS
LARGE SCALE #RUSSIAN_ARMY REINFORCEMENTS ARRIVE IN #DONETSK CITY.
D-30, BM-21
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iSnU3xWDIjY …

Tymchuk: #Russia reactivated an airbase on #Ukraine's border & in the last 24h at least 20 planes carrying Russian troops/arms landed there

BREAKING:
LARGE SCALE #RUSSIA|N ARMY REINFORCEMENTS ARRIVE IN #DONETSK CITY.
D-30, BM-21
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iSnU3xWDIjY …
pic.twitter.com/0zlhtb0GAA

BREAKING Fresh #Russian army column in #Ukraine heading for #Donetsk on Nov11. 36 KamAZ trucks, 8 GRAD units,7 D-30s https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iSnU3xWDIjY …

Enemy is most active at #Debaltseve, #Luhansk, #Donetsk dir. #Russia keeps reinforcing attack groups - Tymchuk
pic.twitter.com/LEBz15c1qE

Large military convoy driving to #Donetsk as we follow Dutch experts out of city to #MH17 crash site

VIDEO #Russia daily invasion convoy H21 Motorway #Donetsk 36 KAMAZ Trucks,8 GRAD,etc
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iSnU3...ature=youtu.be … #Ukraine
pic.twitter.com/T8na8AFJQO

Russia-sponsored separatists in #Novoazovsk, #Donetsk region has got the SA-22 Greyhound missile launcher - military expert Tymchuk.

Other vehicles that also came in with #Russia invasion convoy #Donetsk #Ukraine-troops in bus,poss GRU intel vehicles
pic.twitter.com/6QuvgDuQnr

#Russia invasion convoy to #Donetsk packed with ammo & a possible portable mortuary -meaning offensive war #Ukraine
pic.twitter.com/DQ9HqrihVO

Staying silent on Russian military involvement inside eastern Ukraine in exchange for Russian support with Iran---does the Us really think Russia has US interests at heart?

Is the US about to receive another slap in the face? | Iran, Russia sign deal for two new nuclear reactors |

http://ara.tv/y6a99

[OUTLAW 09]

First mentioning of this:

VIDEO #Israel army experts training #Mariupol defense groups in Guerrilla warfare

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FA5Qb...pLBEz-8saaT3ew … #Ukraine

pic.twitter.com/2xINbm4Qnx

[OUTLAW 09]

Today seems to be the "day of strange events" in the Ukraine.

1. Russia complaining that the OSCE is not paying as much attention to the Ukrainian Army regrouping as they do towards all the Russian convoys driving towards and from Donetsk.

2. and then this from Russia's Interfax today;

11/11 17:15 Blast goes off near Russian ship in neural waters of Sea of Azov (Part 2)

Notice the emphasis is "neutral waters"---Ukrainians state the ship is literally parked off the Mariupol harbor.

Then this from the Ukrainian side:

#Ukrainian border patrol ship reported abt a significant underwater explosion in #Azov sea.
https://twitter.com/lukakunagilaku/s...76750076497920 …
pic.twitter.com/KcE2rOwiwi

The underwater explosion was so strong glasses in cities of #Primorks & #Zhovtnevyi district shattered. Happened in neutral waters.

Even stranger now:

Explosion heard in #Mariupol was a #Russia|n cargo ship, happened in neutral waters, reason still unknown
http://www.interfax.ru/russia/406607

[OUTLAW 09]

After the massive amount of deployed Russian troops, trucks, and heavy artillery and tanks into the eastern Ukraine---it an no longer be called "an incursion" but must finally be called what it is--"an invasion"---whether with "vacationing" Russian troops, "little green men", and or Russian mercenaries---it is in fact a full scale invasion force that has entered eastern Ukraine.

Exactly what the Ukrainian NSDC stated several days ago---the Russian invasion force parked right next to the Ukrainian border has now entered the Ukraine.

And the West being so fixated on the IS/Iraq/Syria seems to have missed it. So where are the NATO/EU/US responses to the large Russian buildup that even now the OSCE and journalists are seeing almost daily for the last 72-100 hours?

Are we now in effect "at war" and the West is still looking to find out what is "moving" in eastern Ukraine? With the sheer amount of ISR assets in that area---the West is not "blind" so what are they afraid to release to the western media?

Military mobilization east of Donetsk is so big that the small OSCE & a bunch of journos not looking for it saw it
http://bit.ly/1GLC3BP

OSCE observes "43 unmarked green military trucks" moving towards Donetsk http://www.osce.org/node/126556

Ukraine Live: Shelling Resumes In Donetsk As More Russian Military Hardware Moves West
http://bit.ly/1GLC3BP

EVEN the OSCE is now seeing the long convoys and expressing concern over them.

Approximately 250 Kamaz trucks have entered just in the last 72-100 hours not counting the RF "alleged" humanitarian aid trucks which also brought in heavy supplies.

Humanitarian aid has arrived in Donetsk.
pic.twitter.com/fAEcTftR1u

#Donetsk. Nov 11. Before the night fall. Next #Russian army column has arrived to #Ukraine. Nobody cares, even #OSCE.
pic.twitter.com/s4kAqkvjLI

[OUTLAW 09]

An article on the potential Russian goals inside eastern Ukraine--tend to fully agree with the two tactical targets the Russians are looking at taking before it get's to deep into winter.

Well worth the read.

rferl.org/content/news-analysis-east-ukraine-fighting-resurgence/26685705.html …

By Robert Coalson

November 11, 2014

Fighting in eastern Ukraine -- and particularly around the city of Donetsk -- has flared up again, more intensely than anything since the shaky cease-fire was agreed in Minsk on September 5.

Journalists and other observers on November 7 reported seeing dozens of military vehicles, including tanks and armored personnel carriers, entering separatist-controlled areas of eastern Ukraine from Russia. The Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) confirmed the sightings the following day.

Numerous videos of the convoy have appeared online.

Moscow has denied Russia is involved in the fighting and has called for all parties to observe the Minsk agreement. The separatists claim that the convoys are merely reinforcements being moved toward Donetsk from other parts of the breakaway region.

Pro-Kremlin analyst Sergei Markov, however, told the Daily Beast that Moscow is providing "multilayered support" to the separatist movement.

What is the cause of the renewed military activity in eastern Ukraine?

Here are a few possibilities:

'Election' Reaction

On November 2, the separatist authorities in eastern Ukraine held disputed elections that Kyiv, the OSCE, the EU, and the United States said were illegitimate and a violation of the Minsk agreement. Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko said the voting "torpedoed" the Minsk process.

In response, Poroshenko sent additional troops to the region and asked parliament to repeal a law on autonomy for the breakaway regions that was passed as part of the Minsk process.

"I think the recent transfer of equipment [from Russia to the separatists] is primarily defensive at this stage," said Tom Frear, a researcher at the European Leadership Network (ELN), in a written interview. "The rhetoric coming out of Kyiv following the elections in the Donbass and the revocation of the autonomy agreement means that Russia and the Donbas leadership can't rule out a renewed Ukrainian offensive."

Tactical Considerations

The influx of equipment to the separatists could also signal a desire to solidify their positions and make some small local gains that could make it easier to get through the winter.

The separatists may be seeking control of specific objects, such as a power plant to the north of Luhansk and Donetsk airport, Frear says. Such moves, he says, are "aimed at securing economic assets that make the long-term survival of the Luhansk People's Republic [LNR] and the Donetsk People's Republic [DNR] more plausible."

Russian analyst Markov also told the Daily Beast that the separatists are seeking to take control over "Piski, Avdiivka, and Schastye, a town with a central heating station." In addition, he speculated they might want to recapture Slovyansk and Kramotorsk, which are "symbolically and strategically important towns for them."

Building A Land Bridge

More dramatically, Moscow may be intent on adding territory to the separatist region that would give Russia a land bridge across eastern Ukraine to the Black Sea peninsula of Crimea, which Moscow annexed in March.

The region is currently accessible to Russia only by air and across the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov. Such a land bridge would make it much easier for Moscow to supply Crimea.

Ivan Lozowy, an independent policy analyst based in Kyiv, says establishing this land bridge is Putin's "unfinished business in eastern Ukraine" and "a priority" for him.

It would, however, have to include the key city of Mariupol, which would be a difficult objective to capture.

Mariupol "is pretty much dead set against letting the Russian troops through," Lozowy says. "The local residents have even been helping to build fortifications."

And What About Kharkiv?

The so-called Novorossia project has foundered in recent months, and could be strengthened if the separatists were able to get control of Kharkiv, Ukraine's second-largest city.

Lozowy notes that the city has "symbolic significance," as well as being a major industrial center.

In December 1917, Kharkiv was the first Ukrainian city to recognize the Bolshevik coup in Russia, and the city served as Ukraine's capital until 1935. Ukraine's largest tank producer is located in the region, among many other military-industrial enterprises.

"Undoubtedly, Kharkiv, which has remained on the whole indifferent to calls to join 'Novorossia,' really upsets certain circles both in Moscow and in the LNR and DNR," Russian military analyst Aleksandr Golts told openrussia.org on November 10.

Lozowy says achieving the two goals of establishing a land bridge to Crimea and incorporating Kharkiv into the separatist territory would "bring Putin and the Kremlin very close to their original goal of building -- or carving out, rather -- a 'Novorossia' from Ukrainian territory."

[OUTLAW 09]

After a heavy Ukrainian artillery strike today near Donetsk this Russian Army unit hidden as a mercenary fighter BN ceased to exist.

News coming w artillery fire was eliminated battalion Vityaz consisting mainly of the disguised #Russian army 15th battalion, unit #90600.

Just how many more Russian "killed vacationers" will it take for the Russian population to "wake up"--although polling from this week indicates they already know the fighting is causing a drop in their economy and an increase in food prices.

[OUTLAW 09]

Appears now the US has awaken to the massive Russian buildup of the last 72 hours.

More sanctions unlikely to work w #Russia. instead, lethal aid for #Ukraine, NATO force increase, energy initiative.
http://politi.co/1pLrBoT

NATO Commander 'Concerned' By Armored Convoys Crossing Into Ukraine From
#Russia
http://tmt-go.ru/510960 #news

Finally the words "lethal aid" are on the table---should have been there six months ago but for some reason "soft power rules the White House".

Maybe now they realize Putin is aiming to rock the NATO alliance by focusing next on the Baltics---remember his Crimea Duma speech--I have the right to defend Russian speaking populations anywhere in the world---"Putin Doctrine".

Russian warship in Latvian waters, large Russian population in LV - Next after UA -
http://ow.ly/E6Q7z

NBS @Latvijas_armija

Armed Forces on 10 NOV in LVA EEZ near territ. waters spotted RU Navy's Tarantul-class ship R-2.